Match Info

League One - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Brook C. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.15
	3.25	3.15	2.22
	3.55	3.32	2.19
	3.26	3.17	2.27	Watch
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.29	3.26	2.19	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.66)	3.19 ↑ (3.12)	2.19 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
28%

Draw
29.3%

Lincoln City
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigan Athletic's form might have worsened.

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lincoln City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lincoln City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	0%	85%

Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Lincoln will win (votes: 17 - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 69.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lincoln (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 23. Carragher J. (C) 4. Aimson W. 3. Fox M. 6. Weir J. 17. Smith M. 33. Moxon O. 7. Murray F. 37. Asamoah M. 8. Wright C. 10. Taylor J.	1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 24. Varfolomeev I. 14. McGrandles C. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 10. Moylan J. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F.
Substitutes
43. Bettoni H. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 11. Costelloe D. 44. Hungbo J. 30. Savin T. (G) 9. Saydee C. 5. Sessegnon S.	8. Bayliss T. 18. House B. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 19. Lloyd A. 26. One R. 6. Towler R.
Coaches
Lowe R.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Moylan J. ⚽, McGrandles C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Murray F. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
66', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, House B. ↑,
66', Moylan J. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
74', Moxon O. 🟨,
75', Draper F. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
80', Taylor J. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
80', Moxon O. ↓, Bettoni H. ↑,
86', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
86', Street R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
86', Wright C. ↓, Borges Rodrigues R. ↑,
90+4', Wickens G. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 1.

Wigan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lincoln is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wigan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wigan has had a series of away games.

Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.

Lincoln might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Wigan: Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rogers J. (Injury) Trevitt R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J. (Knee Injury) Thorn O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Kerr J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Jackson A. (Surgery)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
24	Wigan	8	1	1	6	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Lincoln City - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.79%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
27.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Doncaster Rovers - Wigan Athletic	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.26	Preston North End - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
English League One
04.01.26	Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWL
- Lincoln City
English League One
27.01.26	Lincoln City - Bradford City	3:0 ✺
22.01.26	Lincoln City - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Luton Town - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lincoln City - Peterborough United	5:2 ✺
01.01.26	Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
06.09.25	Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic	2:2
01.02.25	Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City	1:1
21.09.24	Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic	0:0
13.04.24	Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic	1:2
09.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City	0:0
09.04.22	Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic	1:3
26.10.21	Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City	1:2

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