Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 7, SuperSport Grandstand
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+, DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 9, Pickx+ Sports 9, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	HBO Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sky Go Germany
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, RTK 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, Canal+
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	FOX One
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Canal+ Extra 4, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Connect
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime


	Borussia Dortmund		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.45
	2.85	3.5	2.35
	2.85	3.65	2.45
	2.95	3.55	2.48
	2.89	3.66	2.43	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.4
	2.86	3.57	2.5
	2.8	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.43)	3.53 ↓ (3.71)	2.44 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
33.6%

Draw
27.1%

Inter Milan
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

26.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Dortmund's form might have worsened.

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	14.4%	70%

Borussia Dortmund - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 13 - 14.8%). Inter will win (votes: 62 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 61% – 80%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 11 - 91.7%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Borussia D (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Borussia D (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Borussia D (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (24 of 32 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Inter (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 23. Can E. (C) 4. Schlotterbeck N. 39. Mane F. 26. Ryerson J. 8. Nmecha F. 7. Bellingham J. 5. Bensebaini R. 14. Beier M. 21. Silva F. 9. Guirassy S.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 15. Acerbi F. 25. Akanji M. 11. Luis Henrique 8. Sucic P. 7. Zielinski P. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. (C) 9. Thuram M. 14. Bonny A.
Substitutes
27. Adeyemi K. 10. Brandt J. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 33. Meyer A. (G) 31. Ostrzinski S. (G)	95. Bastoni A. 45. Bovo L. 30. Carlos Augusto 43. Cocchi M. 36. Darmian M. 6. de Vrij S. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 13. Martinez J. (G) 10. Martinez L.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Akanji M. 🟨,
57', Bonny A. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
68', Guirassy S. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
74', Zielinski P. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
75', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Dimarco F. ⚽,
81', Bensebaini R. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
81', Silva F. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
88', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
88', Sucic P. ↓, Bastoni A. ↑,
88', Thuram M. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
89', Mane F. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
90+1', Acerbi F. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 2, Diouf A. ⚽, Frattesi D. (A),

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Inter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Inter has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Borussia D: Drewes P. (Inactive) Ozcan S. (Inactive) Sabitzer M. (Calf Injury) Sule N. (Injury) Svensson D. (Red Card)

There will not play in Inter: Barella N. (Muscle Injury) Calhanoglu H. (Calf Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Inter: 2.22% Dortmund: 1.4%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
25	Inter	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Borussia Dortmund	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli	3:2 ✺
13.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	3:0 ✺
09.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWT
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
23.01.26	Inter Milan - Pisa	6:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Inter Milan - Arsenal	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.01.26	Udinese - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Inter Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
05.11.19	Borussia Dortmund - Inter Milan	3:2
23.10.19	Inter Milan - Borussia Dortmund	2:0

Upcoming Matches