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Cremonese - Cagliari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 19
  • Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday
  • Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)
  • Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Cremonese Cagliari
    Cremonese Cagliari
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.49 ↑
    (2.25)    		 2.98 ↓
    (3.28)    		 3.21 ↓
    (3.3)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Cremonese
    38.3%    		Draw
    32%    		Cagliari
    29.7%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    42.2% 29% 28.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    42.7% 28.7% 28.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    24.6% 52.6% 22.8%

    Cremonese - Cagliari Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 14 - 24.6%). Cagliari will win (votes: 13 - 22.8%). It will Tie (votes: 30 - 52.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.6% – 65.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Cagliari (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 18 - 69.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Cremonese (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Cagliari (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Cagliari (votes: 7 - 25%). Tie (votes: 18 - 64.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. IndonesiaAudero E. (G)
    24. ItalyTerracciano F.
      6. ItalyBaschirotto F. (C)
    15. ItalyBianchetti M.
    22. ItalyFloriani R.
    38. FranceBondo W.
    32. ArgentinaPayero M.
      3. ItalyPezzella G.
    90. ItalyBonazzoli F.
    10. EnglandVardy J.
    11. NorwayJohnsen D.
    		  1. ItalyCaprile E. (G)
      6. ItalyLuperto S.
    26. ColombiaMina Y.
    15. UruguayRodriguez J.
      2. ItalyPalestra M.
      8. FranceAdopo M.
    16. ItalyPrati M.
    28. ItalyZappa G. (C)
    77. AngolaLuvumbo Z.
    29. ItalyBorrelli G.
    10. ItalyGaetano G.
    Substitutes
      4. ItalyBarbieri T.
    23. ItalyCeccherini F.
    30. SenegalFaye M.
    55. ItalyFolino F.
    33. ItalyGrassi A.
    48. GeorgiaLordkipanidze D.
    14. CameroonMoumbagna F.
    69. ItalyNava L. (G)
    99. ParaguaySanabria A.
    16. ItalySilvestri M. (G)
      8. ItalyValoti M.
    27. BelgiumVandeputte J.
    20. ArgentinaVazquez F.
      7. ItalyZerbin A.
    		21. ItalyCavuoti N.
    24. ItalyCiocci G. (G)
    18. ItalyDi Pardo A.
    94. ItalyEsposito Se.
      3. ItalyIdrissi R.
      9. TurkeyKilicsoy S.
    27. ZambiaLiteta J.
      4. ItalyMazzitelli L.
    33. SlovakiaObert A.
    30. ItalyPavoletti L.
    23. ItalyPintus N.
    12. AlbaniaSherri A. (G)
    37. FranceTrepy Y.
    Coaches
         ItalyNicola D.
    		     ItalyPisacane F.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 0)
    • 2', Borrelli G. 🟨,
    • 4', 1 - 0, Johnsen D. ⚽, Vardy J. (A),
    • 11', Bondo W. 🟨,
    • 29', 2 - 0, Vardy J. ⚽,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
    • 46', Mina Y. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
    • 51', 2 - 1, Adopo M. ⚽, Borrelli G. (A),
    • 56', Prati M. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
    • 56', Luvumbo Z. ↓, Obert A. ↑,
    • 60', Johnsen D. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
    • 60', Bondo W. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
    • 60', Pezzella G. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
    • 66', Gaetano G. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
    • 81', Bonazzoli F. 🟨,
    • 84', Zappa G. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
    • 88', 2 - 2, Trepy Y. ⚽, Mazzitelli L. (A),
    • 90+2', Luperto S. 🟨,
    • 90+5', Payero M. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
    • 90+5', Vardy J. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,

    Preview

  • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).
  • Cremonese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Cagliari has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Groin Injury)
  • There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Folorunsho M. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Cremonese: Sarmiento J. (Inactive)
  • There are questionable in Cagliari: Deiola A. (Thigh Injury) Pedro J. (Knee Injury)
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

    • Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Cagliari: 0.38%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    4Cagliari54015:2312

    Last Results with these Odds

    Cremonese - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Cremonese
    Italian Serie A
    04.01.26 Fiorentina - Cremonese 1:0 ✺
    28.12.25 Cremonese - Napoli 0:2 ✺
    20.12.25 Lazio - Cremonese 0:0 ✺
    13.12.25 Torino - Cremonese 1:0 ✺
    07.12.25 Cremonese - Lecce 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10
    LLTLW
    - Cagliari Calcio
    Italian Serie A
    02.01.26 Cagliari - Milan 0:1 ✺
    27.12.25 Torino - Cagliari 1:2 ✺
    21.12.25 Cagliari - Pisa 2:2 ✺
    13.12.25 Atalanta - Cagliari 2:1 ✺
    07.12.25 Cagliari - Roma 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4
    LWTLW
    Latest Head to Head
    Coppa Italia
    24.09.24 Cagliari - Cremonese 1:0
    28.10.20 Cagliari - Cremonese 1:0
    Club Friendly
    26.07.18 Cagliari - Cremonese 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Cremonese
    Italian Serie B
    10.10.26 Arezzo - Cremonese ✺
    - Cagliari Calcio
    Italian Serie A
    11.10.26 Cagliari - Juventus ✺

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