Fiorentina - Cremonese predictions, live, scores & stats

Match Info

Serie A - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	15:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:00	Match 4
Indonesia	21:00	ANTV, Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tanzania	17:00	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	21:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Fiorentina		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4.6
	1.7	3.95	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.82	4.81	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.79	3.87	5.06
	1.71	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.79)	3.76 ↑ (3.64)	4.85 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
55%

Draw
25.4%

Cremonese
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

28.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	17.9%	28.2%

Fiorentina - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 21 - 53.8%). Cremonese will win (votes: 11 - 28.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 38.2% – 69.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cremonese (4.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (C) 5. Pongracic M. 15. Comuzzo P. 6. Ranieri L. 2. Dodo 8. Mandragora R. 44. Fagioli N. 27. Ndour C. 65. Parisi F. 10. Gudmundsson A. 91. Piccoli R.	1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 55. Folino F. 4. Barbieri T. 32. Payero M. 38. Bondo W. 27. Vandeputte J. 3. Pezzella G. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.
Substitutes
29. Fortini N. 21. Gosens R. 20. Kean M. 23. Kospo E. 60. Kouadio E. 99. Kouame C. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 18. Mari P. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 7. Sohm S. 19. Solomon M. 26. Viti M.	15. Bianchetti M. 23. Ceccherini F. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 33. Grassi A. 11. Johnsen D. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 14. Moumbagna F. 69. Nava L. (G) 99. Sanabria A. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 8. Valoti M. 20. Vazquez F. 7. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Bondo W. 🟨,
29', Bondo W. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
42', Payero M. 🟨,
42', Dodo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Vandeputte J. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
66', Parisi F. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
66', Ranieri L. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
75', Payero M. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
75', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
76', Vardy J. ↓, Moumbagna F. ↑,
76', Ndour C. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
84', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
85', Mandragora R. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Kean M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fiorentina is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Groin Injury) Sarmiento J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Kean M. (Personal Reasons) Richardson A. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 2.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9:19	-10	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Fiorentina: 0.18%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Parma - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Fiorentina - Udinese	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Fiorentina - Verona	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
28.12.25	Cremonese - Napoli	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Lazio - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Torino - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cremonese - Lecce	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
27.04.23	Fiorentina - Cremonese	0:0
05.04.23	Cremonese - Fiorentina	0:2
Italian Serie A
12.03.23	Cremonese - Fiorentina	0:2
14.08.22	Fiorentina - Cremonese	3:2
Club Friendly
24.07.13	Fiorentina - Cremonese	7:1

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