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Fiorentina - Cremonese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 18
  • Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday
  • Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)
  • Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
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    Fiorentina Cremonese
    Fiorentina Cremonese
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 1.73 ↓
    (1.79)    		 3.76 ↑
    (3.64)    		 4.85 ↑
    (4.59)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Fiorentina
    55%    		Draw
    25.4%    		Cremonese
    19.7%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    53.1% 26.1% 20.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    57.5% 28.3% 19.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    53.8% 17.9% 28.2%

    Fiorentina - Cremonese Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 21 - 53.8%). Cremonese will win (votes: 11 - 28.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 38.2% – 69.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Cremonese (4.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    43. Spainde Gea D. (C)
      5. CroatiaPongracic M.
    15. ItalyComuzzo P.
      6. ItalyRanieri L.
      2. BrazilDodo
      8. ItalyMandragora R.
    44. ItalyFagioli N.
    27. ItalyNdour C.
    65. ItalyParisi F.
    10. IcelandGudmundsson A.
    91. ItalyPiccoli R.
    		  1. IndonesiaAudero E. (G)
    24. ItalyTerracciano F.
      6. ItalyBaschirotto F. (C)
    55. ItalyFolino F.
      4. ItalyBarbieri T.
    32. ArgentinaPayero M.
    38. FranceBondo W.
    27. BelgiumVandeputte J.
      3. ItalyPezzella G.
    90. ItalyBonazzoli F.
    10. EnglandVardy J.
    Substitutes
    29. ItalyFortini N.
    21. GermanyGosens R.
    20. ItalyKean M.
    23. BosniaKospo E.
    60. ItalyKouadio E.
    99. IvoryKouame C.
      1. ItalyLezzerini L. (G)
    18. SpainMari P.
    30. ItalyMartinelli T. (G)
    14. ItalyNicolussi Caviglia H.
      7. SwitzerlandSohm S.
    19. IsraelSolomon M.
    26. ItalyViti M.
    		15. ItalyBianchetti M.
    23. ItalyCeccherini F.
    30. SenegalFaye M.
    22. ItalyFloriani R.
    33. ItalyGrassi A.
    11. NorwayJohnsen D.
    48. GeorgiaLordkipanidze D.
    14. CameroonMoumbagna F.
    69. ItalyNava L. (G)
    99. ParaguaySanabria A.
    16. ItalySilvestri M. (G)
      8. ItalyValoti M.
    20. ArgentinaVazquez F.
      7. ItalyZerbin A.
    Coaches
         ItalyVanoli P.
    		     ItalyNicola D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 20', Bondo W. 🟨,
    • 29', Bondo W. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
    • 42', Payero M. 🟨,
    • 42', Dodo 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 59', Vandeputte J. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
    • 66', Parisi F. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
    • 66', Ranieri L. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
    • 75', Payero M. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
    • 75', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
    • 76', Vardy J. ↓, Moumbagna F. ↑,
    • 76', Ndour C. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
    • 84', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
    • 85', Mandragora R. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
    • 90+2', 1 - 0, Kean M. ⚽,

    Preview

  • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 12).
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Fiorentina is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Groin Injury) Sarmiento J. (Inactive)
  • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Kean M. (Personal Reasons) Richardson A. (Inactive)
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 2.8:0.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).

    • Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Fiorentina: 0.35%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    17Fiorentina51136:12-64

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Fiorentina
    Italian Serie A
    27.12.25 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    21.12.25 Fiorentina - Udinese 5:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    18.12.25 Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A
    14.12.25 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    11.12.25 Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4
    LWLLW
    - US Cremonese
    Italian Serie A
    28.12.25 Cremonese - Napoli 0:2 ✺
    20.12.25 Lazio - Cremonese 0:0 ✺
    13.12.25 Torino - Cremonese 1:0 ✺
    07.12.25 Cremonese - Lecce 2:0 ✺
    01.12.25 Bologna - Cremonese 1:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9
    LTLWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Coppa Italia
    27.04.23 Fiorentina - Cremonese 0:0
    05.04.23 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    Italian Serie A
    12.03.23 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    14.08.22 Fiorentina - Cremonese 3:2
    Club Friendly
    24.07.13 Fiorentina - Cremonese 7:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Fiorentina
    Italian Serie A
    10.10.26 Genoa - Fiorentina ✺
    - US Cremonese
    Italian Serie B
    10.10.26 Arezzo - Cremonese ✺

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