Match Info

Championship - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Norway	16:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Usa	10:00	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.96	4.45	Watch
	1.88	3.82	4.24
	1.8	3.87	4.17	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.5
	1.7	3.84	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.68)	3.85 ↑ (3.66)	4.41 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
54.1%

Draw
24.5%

Stoke City
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Wrexham - Stoke City Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Stoke will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ward D. (G) 5. Hyam D. (C) 24. Scarr D. 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 37. James M. 15. Dobson G. 14. Thomason G. 20. Rathbone O. 10. Windass J. 28. Smith S.	31. Bazunu G. (G) 7. Thomas S. 18. Lawal B. 3. Cresswell A. (C) 17. Bocat E. 4. Pearson B. 8. Baker L. 42. Manhoef M. 10. Bae J. 29. Cisse L. 20. Gallagher S.
Substitutes
33. Broadhead N. 3. Brunt L. 11. Cadamarteri B. 4. Cleworth M. 7. Keillor-Dunn D. 47. Longman R. 19. Moore K. 27. O'Brien L. 1. Okonkwo A. (G)	50. Agina S. 11. Bozenik R. 59. Kelly G. 9. Mubama D. 54. Otegbayo R. 21. Rak-Sakyi J. 12. Seko T. 25. Simkin T. (G) 49. Smit M.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Robins M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Thomason G. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Windass J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cresswell A. ↓, Rak-Sakyi J. ↑,
47', Manhoef M. 🟨,
52', Gallagher S. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
68', Baker L. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
73', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
78', Windass J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
79', Smith S. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
86', Lawal B. ↓, Otegbayo R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 16).

Recent form of Wrexham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stoke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Wrexham has had a series of away games.

In this match, Wrexham is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Hamstring Injury) James A. (Knee Injury) O'Connor T. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A. (Hamstring Injury) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Phillips A. (Red Card) Rigo T. (Injury) Talovierov M. (Ankle Injury) Tchamadeu J. (Hamstring Injury) Wilmot B. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Sheaf B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Stoke: Bozenik R. (Shoulder Injury) Gibson B. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Stoke	12	6	2	4	18:16	2	20
17	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wrexham: 2.08%

Last Results with these Odds

Wrexham - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
12.04.26	Birmingham City - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Wrexham - Southampton	1:5 ✺
03.04.26	West Bromwich Albion - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Sheffield United - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Watford - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTWL
- Stoke City
English League Championship
11.04.26	Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Derby County - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Stoke City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Preston North End - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Stoke City - Watford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.10.25	Stoke City - Wrexham	1:0
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Wrexham - Stoke City	1:3
22.07.15	Wrexham - Stoke City	0:6
English FA Cup
04.01.15	Stoke City - Wrexham	3:1
Club Friendly
04.08.13	Wrexham - Stoke City	0:1

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