Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 14

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Peru	L1 Play
World	Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz


	Criciúma		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	3	Watch
	2.65	3	2.87
	2.6	2.95	2.95
	2.71	2.98	3.07
	2.67	2.97	2.95	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.63	2.99	2.95	Watch
	2.6	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.78)	2.98 ↓ (3.23)	2.96 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
36.2%

Draw
31.8%

Cruzeiro
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	19.2%	34.6%

Criciúma - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 33. Walisson Maia 3. Rodrigo (C) 14. Trauco M. 88. Gustavo Barreto 6. Ronald Lopes 17. Matheusinho 22. Marcelo Hermes 23. Citadin E. 11. Bolasie Y.	98. Anderson (G) 28. Palacios H. 5. Ze Ivaldo 43. Joao Marcelo 6. Kaiki 29. Romero L. 16. Lucas Silva 17. Ramiro 10. Matheus Pereira 30. Gabriel Veron 11. Arthur Gomes
Substitutes
25. Alisson (G) 2. Allano 45. Arthur Caike 30. Barcia M. 99. Eduardo Melo 15. Eliedson 41. Erick Garcia 7. Fellipe Mateus 5. Higor Meritao 21. Joao Carlos 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 8. Newton	68. Arthur Viana 21. Barreal A. 23. Filipe Machado 77. Japa 41. Leo Aragao (G) 3. Marlon 7. Mateus Vital 27. Neris 80. Robert 25. Villalba L. 22. Vitinho 2. Wesley Gasolina
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Seabra F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ronald Lopes ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
46', Lucas Silva ↓, Vitinho ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Bolasie Y. ⚽, Claudinho (A),
51', Matheusinho 🟨,
64', Citadin E. ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
64', Matheusinho ↓, Newton ↑,
64', Ramiro ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
64', Arthur Gomes ↓, Robert ↑,
74', Bolasie Y. ↓, Allano ↑,
81', Kaiki ↓, Mateus Vital ↑,
83', Claudinho ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
83', Rodrigo 🟨,
88', Palacios H. ↓, Arthur Viana ↑,
90+3', Allano 🟨,
90+3', Allano 🟥,
90+3', Joao Marcelo 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Criciúma: Felipe Vizeu (Injury)

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Dinenno J. (Injury) Rafa Silva (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
30.06.24	Criciúma - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
27.06.24	São Paulo - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Criciúma - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Criciúma - Bahia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLWWT
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
30.06.24	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	Cruzeiro - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
23.06.24	Bahia - Cruzeiro	4:1 ✺
19.06.24	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.09.22	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	1:1
27.05.22	Criciúma - Cruzeiro	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.14	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	3:1
09.08.14	Criciúma - Cruzeiro	0:0
26.10.13	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	5:3
07.08.13	Criciúma - Cruzeiro	1:2

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