The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crotone 47.2%
Draw 27.8%
Atalanta U23 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
24.2%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
23.2%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crotone's form might have worsened.
Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crotone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atalanta U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crotone - Atalanta U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (G) 35. Novella M. 72. Cocetta N. 6. Di Pasquale D. 23. Groppelli F. 16. Gallo A. 7. Vinicius 21. Sandri M. 18. Piovanello E. 9. Gomez G. 96. Zunno M.
95. Vismara P. (G) 4. Berto G. 19. Obric R. 6. Comi P. 66. Bergonzi F. 47. Levak S. 5. Panada S. (C) 24. Ghislandi D. 10. Cortinovis A. 11. Cassa F. 9. Misitano G.
Substitutes
28. Andreoni C. 13. Armini N. 80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 11. Energe A. 25. Guerra W. 27. Maggio M. 14. Meli M. 10. Musso A. 76. Paciotti G. (G) 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 17. Russo D. 63. Veltri A. 77. Vrenna M.
58. Bonanomi A. 18. Guerini A. 61. Idele J. 80. Mencaraglia F. 37. Navarro A. 2. Plaia M. 8. Pounga D. K. 21. Riccio L. 3. Simonetto F. 25. Steffanoni F. 17. Torriani A. (G) 99. Vavassori D. 12. Zanchi E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Gomez G. 🟨,
38', Comi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Comi P. ↓, Guerini A. ↑,
46', Piovanello E. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
60', Panada S. ↓, Pounga D. K. ↑,
67', Sandri M. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
71', Misitano G. ↓, Vavassori D. ↑,
72', Zunno M. ↓, Energe A. ↑,
83', Gomez G. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
85', Cortinovis A. ↓, Mencaraglia F. ↑,
86', Guerini A. 🟨,
90+6', Pounga D. K. 🟨,
90+7', Novella M. 🟨,
90+10', Obric R. 🟨,
90+12', 1 - 0, Musso A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).
Crotone has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Atalanta U23 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Crotone might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crotone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.