Match Info

Date: 22 May 2021, Saturday


	Crotone		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.33	1.83	Watch
	3.7	4.2	1.85
	3.75	4	1.87	Watch
	3.6	4.2	1.85
	3.81	4.23	1.88
	3.75	4.2	1.83	Watch
	3.65	4.45	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.63)	4.23 ↑ (3.94)	1.86 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
25.9%

Draw
22.6%

Fiorentina
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.1%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

16.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crotone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	4.8%	91.5%

Crotone - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (173 of 189 users predict this - 91.53%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.56% – 95.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Crotone is Relegated to

Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (87.16%), has project points - 23, has currently - 22, was already of relegated.

Fiorentina has the most likely position - 14 (27.26%), has project points - 41, has currently - 39, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Fiorentina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
16.05.21	Benevento - Crotone	1:1 ✺
13.05.21	Crotone - Verona	2:1 ✺
09.05.21	Roma - Crotone	5:0 ✺
01.05.21	Crotone - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
24.04.21	Parma - Crotone	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TWLLW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
16.05.21	Fiorentina - Napoli	0:2 ✺
12.05.21	Cagliari - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
08.05.21	Fiorentina - Lazio	2:0 ✺
02.05.21	Bologna - Fiorentina	3:3 ✺
25.04.21	Fiorentina - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
23.01.21	Fiorentina - Crotone	2:1
31.03.18	Fiorentina - Crotone	2:0
29.10.17	Crotone - Fiorentina	2:1
19.03.17	Crotone - Fiorentina	0:1
26.10.16	Fiorentina - Crotone	1:1

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