Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN, SÝN Sport 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports, Tubi TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Amazon Prime Video
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Suriname	QN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Palace TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CNBC, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Crystal Palace		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	2
	4.1	3.8	1.82
	3.6	3.5	2.08
	4.31	3.85	1.88
	3.96	3.85	1.93	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2
	3.78	3.66	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (7.31)	3.67 ↓ (4.33)	1.97 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
25%

Draw
26.2%

Arsenal
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

22.8%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

21.9%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crystal Palace's performance.

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crystal Palace that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.2%	10.9%	30.9%

Crystal Palace - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 32 - 60.4%). Arsenal will win (votes: 17 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 47.2% – 73.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Crystal Palace (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Crystal Palace (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Crystal Palace (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Crystal Palace (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crystal Palace will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (C) 17. Clyne N. 8. Lerma J. 34. Riad C. 2. Munoz D. 19. Hughes W. 18. Kamada D. 59. Cardines R. 55. Devenny J. 7. Sarr I. 22. Larsen J. S.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 36. Zubimendi M. 3. Mosquera C. 5. Hincapie P. 33. Calafiori R. 16. Norgaard C. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 20. Madueke N. 56. Dowman M. 11. Martinelli G. 9. Gabriel Jesus (C)
Substitutes
44. Benitez W. (G) 23. Canvot J. 29. Guessand E. 11. Johnson B. 5. Lacroix M. 14. Mateta J. 3. Mitchell T. 10. Pino Y. 20. Wharton A.	10. Eze E. 6. Gabriel 14. Gyökeres V. 29. Havertz K. 23. Merino M. 8. Odegaard M. 41. Rice D. 7. Saka B. 35. Setford T. (G)
Coaches
Glasner O.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Gabriel Jesus ⚽, Martinelli G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Calafiori R. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
46', Norgaard C. ↓, Havertz K. ↑,
46', Kamada D. ↓, Wharton A. ↑,
46', Sarr I. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
46', Munoz D. ↓, Mitchell T. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Madueke N. ⚽, Havertz K. (A),
62', Dowman M. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
62', Wharton A. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
74', Gabriel Jesus 🟨,
75', Gabriel Jesus ↓, Eze E. ↑,
77', Larsen J. S. ↓, Mateta J. ↑,
83', Madueke N. ↓, Gyökeres V. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Mateta J. ⚽, Pino Y. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Arsenal is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 0.

Crystal Palace has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arsenal is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arsenal is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury) Richards C. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Timber J. (Ankle Injury) White B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:44. (average 1.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 58.36% Crystal Palace: 0.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 63.69%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
17.05.26	Brentford - Crystal Palace	2:2 ✺
13.05.26	Manchester City - Crystal Palace	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Crystal Palace - Everton	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.05.26	Crystal Palace - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
03.05.26	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTWL
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
18.05.26	Arsenal - Burnley	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	West Ham United - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.05.26	Arsenal - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
02.05.26	Arsenal - Fulham	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
23.12.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:1 penalties
English Premier League
26.10.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	1:0
23.04.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:2
21.12.24	Crystal Palace - Arsenal	1:5
English League Cup
18.12.24	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	3:2
English Premier League
20.01.24	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	5:0
21.08.23	Crystal Palace - Arsenal	0:1

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