What is the expert prediction for Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?

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Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, April 12, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Tubi TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 4
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Manchester City		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5
	1.55	4.5	5.25
	1.65	4.35	5.2	Watch
	1.64	4.24	5.29	Watch
	1.57	4.33	5
	1.63	4.31	5.4	Watch
	1.65	4.35	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)	4.33 ↓ (4.62)	5.19 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC Universo

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
59.4%

Draw
22.2%

Crystal Palace
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

20.9%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

20.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	3.7%	18.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 42 - 77.8%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 10 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 66.7% – 88.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Crystal Palace (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Man City (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Crystal Palace (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Crystal Palace (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 82. Lewis R. 3. Dias R. 24. Gvardiol J. 75. O'Reilly N. 14. Nico 8. Kovacic M. 87. McAtee J. 19. Gundogan I. 17. De Bruyne K. (C) 7. Marmoush O.	1. Henderson D. (C) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 8. Lerma J. 12. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 18. Kamada D. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 10. Eze E. 14. Mateta J.
Substitutes
52. Bobb O. 11. Doku J. 10. Grealish J. 45. Khusanov A. 27. Nunes M. 18. Ortega S. (G) 26. Savinho 20. Silva B. 22. Vitor Reis	25. Chilwell B. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 19. Hughes W. 58. Kporha C. 11. Matheus Franca 31. Matthews R. (G) 46. Umeh F. 2. Ward J.
Coaches
Guardiola P.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Eze E. ⚽, Sarr I. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Richards C. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
31', Kamada D. 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, De Bruyne K. ⚽,
36', 2 - 2, Marmoush O. ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
40', Nico 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mateta J. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
47', 3 - 2, Kovacic M. ⚽, De Bruyne K. (A),
54', Lacroix M. 🟨,
56', 4 - 2, McAtee J. ⚽, Ederson (A),
63', Mitchell T. ↓, Chilwell B. ↑,
63', Lacroix M. ↓, Clyne N. ↑,
68', McAtee J. 🟨,
71', Ederson ↓, Ortega S. ↑,
79', 5 - 2, O'Reilly N. ⚽,
80', Eze E. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
80', Wharton A. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
82', Marmoush O. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
82', McAtee J. ↓, Savinho ↑,
87', De Bruyne K. ↓, Doku J. ↑,
87', Kovacic M. ↓, Grealish J. ↑,
90+4', Lerma J. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Man City won 3.

Recent matches Man City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crystal Palace in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Man City is a favorite.

There will not play in Man City: Akanji M. (Muscle Injury) Ake N. (Ankle Injury) Haaland E. (Ankle Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Guehi M. (Red Card) Lacroix M. (Concussion) Nketiah E. (Red Card) Riad C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Richards C. (Calf Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Man City won 13 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 52:18 (average 2.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Man City won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 33:12 (average 3.3:1.2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
06.04.25	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:0 ✺
02.04.25	Manchester City - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.03.25	Bournemouth - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
15.03.25	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWTL
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
05.04.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Southampton - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
29.03.25	Fulham - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
13.03.25	Hamarkameratene - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
08.03.25	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
07.12.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	2:2
06.04.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	2:4
16.12.23	Manchester City - Crystal Palace	2:2
11.03.23	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	0:1
27.08.22	Manchester City - Crystal Palace	4:2
14.03.22	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	0:0
30.10.21	Manchester City - Crystal Palace	0:2

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