Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Cusco		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.88	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.8
	2.42	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.47	3.4	3.02
	2.5	3.13	3.01	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.46	3.32	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.47)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)	2.92 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
38.6%

Draw
29.1%

Independiente Medellín
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

31.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Cusco - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 8. Fuentes A. 37. Choi G. 15. Bolivar J. 16. Valenzuela O. 22. Colitto L. 88. Soto D. 10. Colman I. (C) 7. Manzaneda J. 11. Tevez J.	25. Chaux E. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 24. Ortiz J. 33. Londono D. 26. Mena Perea E. 16. Loboa H. 6. Moreno D. (C) 18. Fabra F. 11. Yony Gonzalez 19. Fydriszewski F. 10. Catano D.
Substitutes
17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 6. Ampuero A. 1. Anderson R. (G) 32. Astudillo J. 27. Carabajal G. 14. Diez C. 2. Gamarra C. 77. Herrera Joel 30. Quillahuaman S. 24. Ruidias M. 26. Silva N. 13. Vidal A. (G)	13. Chaverra F. 28. Davila A. 5. Escorcia L. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 20. Montano J. 30. Palacios H. 23. Palacios M. 14. Perlaza B. 8. Serna A. 45. Valdelamar A. 88. Viveros J.
Coaches
Orfila A.	Botero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Yony Gonzalez (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Soto D. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
46', Bolivar J. ↓, Ruidias M. ↑,
51', Ortiz J. 🟨,
55', Choi G. 🟨,
60', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
63', Catano D. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
67', Serna A. 🟨,
70', Manzaneda J. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
71', Valenzuela O. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
76', Zevallos J. ↓, Ali Gutierrez J. D. ↑,
78', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
78', Moreno D. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Choi G. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
88', Fabra F. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
89', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Perlaza B. ⚽, Chaverra F. (A),
90+4', 2 - 2, Fuentes A. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
90+7', 2 - 3, Serna A. ⚽, Loboa H. (A),

Preview

Cusco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ind Medellín is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Ind Medellín: Berrio L. (Injury) Larrosa E. (Inactive) Mantilla K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cusco: Callejo F. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cusco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Medellín - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
16.05.26	Sport Boys - Cusco	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Cusco - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Cusco - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.26	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Cusco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTTL
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Copa
15.05.26	Orsomarso - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Flamengo	Abandoned ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Cusco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TW?LW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Cusco	1:0

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