Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	16:30	Nova Sport
Cyprus	16:30	Nova Sports
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Sports Max
Germany	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Poland	15:30	Viaplay
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay


	Darmstadt		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	9	6	1.29	Watch
	9.5	5.5	1.31	Watch
	11	5.5	1.3	Watch
	10	5.9	1.31
	10.18	6.03	1.3
	9	6	1.25	Watch
	9.65	5.81	1.35	Watch
	9.8	5.9	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.77 ↑ (7.67)	5.83 ↑ (5.57)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
9.8%

Draw
16.4%

Bayer Leverkusen
73.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.4%

17.1%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

17%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	0%	74.1%

Darmstadt - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 15 - 25.9%). Bayer will win (votes: 43 - 74.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 62.8% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 26. Bader M. 4. Zimmermann C. 5. Maglica M. 19. Karic E. 32. Holland F. (C) 28. Franjic B. 25. Holtmann G. 27. Skarke T. 29. Vilhelmsson O. 24. Pfeiffer L.	1. Hradecky L. (C) 2. Stanisic J. 4. Tah J. 3. Hincapie P. 19. Tella N. 8. Andrich R. 34. Xhaka G. 20. Grimaldo A. 23. Hlozek A. 10. Wirtz F. 9. Iglesias B.
Substitutes
30. Brunst A. (G) 23. Gjasula K. 11. Kempe T. 14. Klarer C. 6. Mehlem M. 16. Muller A. 20. Muller J. 40. Polter S. 42. Torsiello F.	21. Adli A. 24. Fosu-Mensah T. 30. Frimpong J. 7. Hofmann J. 17. Kovar M. (G) 18. Mbamba N. 32. Puerta G. 14. Schick P. 12. Tapsoba E.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Alonso X.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Darmstadt is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bayer is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Bayer is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
28.01.24	Union Berlin - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Darmstadt - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
13.01.24	Darmstadt - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.12.23	Hoffenheim - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLLT
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
27.01.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3 ✺
13.01.24	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Venezia	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Bochum	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
02.09.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Darmstadt	5:1
05.04.17	Darmstadt - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2
05.11.16	Bayer Leverkusen - Darmstadt	3:2
13.02.16	Darmstadt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2
12.09.15	Bayer Leverkusen - Darmstadt	0:1

Upcoming Matches