Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 2
Angola	18:30	Z Sports 2
Argentina	14:30	Disney+
Armenia	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	18:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	14:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	18:30	CRTV Sports
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	14:30	Disney+
China	01:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	12:30	Disney+
Croatia	18:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	See, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	19:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	01:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:30	Arena 4
Iceland	17:30	Viaplay
India	23:00	Vision+
Indonesia	00:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Ireland	17:30	NOW
Israel	19:30	Sport 4
Italy	18:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	11:30	Sky Sport
Moldova	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	01:30	Premier Sports 5
Mozambique	19:30	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	22:30	Tapmad
Peru	12:30	Disney+
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	20:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	20:30	Shahid
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	01:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	02:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Taiwan	01:30	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	00:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	20:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	19:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	17:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+
Vietnam	00:30	TV 360
International	17:30	Onefootball


	RB Leipzig		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.9	3.1	Watch
	2.12	3.7	3.2	Watch
	2.27	3.8	3.09
	2.18	3.88	3.18	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3	Watch
	2.1	4	3.28	Watch
	2	4	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.99)	3.84 ↓ (3.95)	3.17 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
44.9%

Draw
24.9%

Bayer Leverkusen
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

24.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

23.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.6%	17.5%	7.9%

RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 46 - 74.2%). Bayer will win (votes: 5 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 17.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 63.3% – 85.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - RB Leipzig (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - RB Leipzig (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gulacsi P. (G) 19. Nedeljkovic K. 4. Orban W. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. (C) 14. Baumgartner C. 13. Seiwald N. 24. Schlager X. 11. Harder C. 40. Romulo Cardoso 27. Gomis T.	1. Flekken M. (G) 8. Andrich R. (C) 5. Bade L. 44. Belocian J. 13. Arthur 24. Garcia A. 10. Tillman M. 23. Tella N. 7. Hofmann J. 11. Terrier M. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
17. Baku R. 5. Bitshiabu E. 35. Finkgrafe M. 37. Kaltefleiter B. 16. Klostermann L. 45. Konate S. 33. Maksimovic A. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 36. Werner T.	28. Blaswich J. (G) 42. Culbreath M. 6. Fernandez E. 35. Kofane C. 36. Lomb N. (G) 21. Lucas 27. Mensah J. 18. Sarco A. 16. Tape A.
Coaches
Werner O.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
30', Arthur 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Schlager X. ⚽, Baumgartner C. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Terrier M. ⚽, Arthur (A),
44', 1 - 2, Schick P. ⚽, Tella N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Hofmann J. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
70', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
70', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
77', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
77', Terrier M. ↓, Culbreath M. ↑,
77', Tella N. ↓, Tape A. ↑,
79', Gomis T. ↓, Werner T. ↑,
83', Arthur ↓, Lucas ↑,
87', Tape A. 🟨,
89', Seiwald N. ↓, Bitshiabu E. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 3, Culbreath M. ⚽,
90+11', Lukeba C. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 1.

RB Leipzig is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bayer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

RB Leipzig could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bakayoko J. (Muscle Injury) Banzuzi E. (Muscle Injury) Diomande Y. (International duty) Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Haidara A. (International duty) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kampl K. (Personal Reasons) Nusa A. (Ankle Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (International duty) Kofane C. (International duty) Maza I. (International duty) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Poku E. (Injury) Quansah J. (Yellow Cards) Tapsoba E. (International duty)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Lucas (Muscle Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
12.12.25	Union Berlin - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	6:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	RB Leipzig - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWTW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
13.12.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle United	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
25.01.25	RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2
31.08.24	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:3
20.01.24	RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3
19.08.23	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	3:2
23.04.23	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:0
29.10.22	RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0
17.04.22	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	0:1

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