Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Nova Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 5
Sweden	Viaplay


	Darmstadt		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	2	Watch
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.7	2.04
	3.91	3.66	2
	3.5	3.7	1.91
	3.8	3.7	2.08	Watch
	3.85	3.65	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.51)	3.61 ↓ (3.69)	2.02 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
25.7%

Draw
26.6%

Eintracht Frankfurt
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

25.8%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

25.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.2%	9.1%	66.7%

Darmstadt - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). Eintracht will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 38. Riedel C. 14. Klarer C. 5. Maglica M. 26. Bader M. 28. Franjic B. 32. Holland F. (C) 15. Nurnberger F. 17. Justvan J. 24. Pfeiffer L. 27. Skarke T.	1. Trapp K. (C) 35. Tuta 4. Koch R. 3. Pacho W. 26. Dina Ebimbe J. 16. Larsson H. 27. Gotze M. 29. Nkounkou N. 36. Knauff A. 25. van de Beek D. 9. Kalajdzic S.
Substitutes
30. Brunst A. (G) 23. Gjasula K. 19. Karic E. 11. Kempe T. 16. Muller A. 8. Schnellhardt F. 42. Torsiello F. 29. Vilhelmsson O. 4. Zimmermann C.	30. Aaronson P. 24. Buta 33. Grahl J. (G) 20. Hasebe M. 23. Hauge J. P. 31. Max P. 18. Ngankam J. 17. Rode S. 5. Smolcic H.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Toppmoller D.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 1.

Darmstadt has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Eintracht is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eintracht will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
13.01.24	Darmstadt - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.12.23	Hoffenheim - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
16.12.23	Darmstadt - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
09.12.23	Heidenheim - Darmstadt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLL
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
13.01.24	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	2:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.12.23	Aberdeen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.08.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Darmstadt	1:0
German DFB Pokal
07.02.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Darmstadt	4:2
German Bundesliga
05.02.17	Eintracht Frankfurt - Darmstadt	2:0
10.09.16	Darmstadt - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:0
30.04.16	Darmstadt - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2
06.12.15	Eintracht Frankfurt - Darmstadt	0:1

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