Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
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Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Darmstadt		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.7	Watch
	4.33	4.1	1.72	Watch
	4.35	4.2	1.75	Watch
	4.46	4.3	1.74
	4.44	4.31	1.75
	4	3.9	1.8	Watch
	4.32	4.22	1.83	Watch
	4.35	4.15	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.93)	4.15 ↑ (3.77)	1.75 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
22.1%

Draw
23.1%

Freiburg
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

25.3%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

25.1%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	10.7%	71.4%

Darmstadt - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Freiburg will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 26. Bader M. 14. Klarer C. 5. Maglica M. 32. Holland F. (C) 38. Riedel C. 23. Gjasula K. 11. Kempe T. 19. Karic E. 29. Vilhelmsson O. 22. Seydel A.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 14. Keitel Y. 5. Gulde M. 42. Doan R. 8. Eggestein M. 27. Hofler N. 30. Gunter C. (C) 22. Sallai R. 32. Grifo V. 38. Gregoritsch M.
Substitutes
13. Behrens M. (G) 25. Holtmann G. 18. Honsak M. 3. Isherwood T. 20. Muller J. 24. Pfeiffer L. 8. Schnellhardt F. 42. Torsiello F. 4. Zimmermann C.	20. Adamu J. 44. Breunig M. 33. Makengo J. 21. Muller F. (G) 23. Muslija F. 26. Philipp M. 34. Rohl M. 25. Sildillia K. 6. Szalai At.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Streich C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Sallai R. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Doan R. ⚽, Gregoritsch M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Grifo V. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
68', Kempe T. ↓, Pfeiffer L. ↑,
68', Vilhelmsson O. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
72', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
72', Sallai R. ↓, Muslija F. ↑,
73', Bader M. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
81', Karic E. ↓, Torsiello F. ↑,
81', Holland F. ↓, Schnellhardt F. ↑,
89', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
90+2', Doan R. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,

Preview

Darmstadt has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Freiburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darmstadt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Freiburg is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
06.04.24	Mainz - Darmstadt	4:0 ✺
31.03.24	Bochum - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Darmstadt - Bayern Munich	2:5 ✺
09.03.24	RB Leipzig - Darmstadt	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Darmstadt - Augsburg	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLL
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
06.04.24	Freiburg - RB Leipzig	1:4 ✺
30.03.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:3 ✺
17.03.24	Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.03.24	West Ham United - Freiburg	5:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.03.24	Bochum - Freiburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
25.11.23	Freiburg - Darmstadt	1:1
29.04.17	Darmstadt - Freiburg	3:0
10.12.16	Freiburg - Darmstadt	1:0

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