Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday


	Mainz		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.59	4	4.65
	1.58	4.16	4.62	Watch
	1.62	4.25	5.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.51)	4.14 ↑ (4.1)	4.77 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
58.1%

Draw
22.4%

Darmstadt
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

20.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Mainz - Darmstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Riess L. (G) 41. Amann J. 4. Barkok A. 21. da Costa D. 39. Gleiber D. 14. Hong Hyun-Seok 3. Jenz M. (C) 5. Leitsch M. 45. Muller T. 9. Onisiwo K. 6. Sano K.	30. Brunst A. (G) 3. Bueno G. 34. Corredor K. 47. El Idrissi O. 9. Hornby F. 2. Lopez S. 5. Maglica M. 21. Papela M. 38. Riedel C. 20. Vukotic A. 28. Will P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Hornby F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', Muller T. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Klefisch K. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz won 3.

Mainz is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Darmstadt is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mainz is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mainz to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mainz won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
31.08.24	Stuttgart - Mainz	3:3 ✺
24.08.24	Mainz - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Mainz	1:3 ET ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Mainz - Montpellier	3:1 ✺
27.07.24	Mainz - Preußen Münster	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWWW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
31.08.24	Elversberg - Darmstadt	4:0 ✺
25.08.24	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Darmstadt	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
11.08.24	Paderborn - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
04.08.24	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
06.04.24	Mainz - Darmstadt	4:0
11.11.23	Darmstadt - Mainz	0:0
Club Friendly
15.11.19	Mainz - Darmstadt	2:1
German Bundesliga
11.03.17	Darmstadt - Mainz	2:1
16.10.16	Mainz - Darmstadt	2:1
06.03.16	Mainz - Darmstadt	0:0
02.10.15	Darmstadt - Mainz	2:3

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