Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Dartford		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.25
	2.6	3.5	2.3
	2.6	3.3	2.42
	2.63	3.56	2.48
	3.5	3.6	1.85
	2.53	3.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.24)	3.45 ↓ (3.59)	2.3 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
33.4%

Draw
26.6%

Dorking Wanderers
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

25.5%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

19.7%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dartford's performance.

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorking Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dartford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dorking Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dartford - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Dartford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dorking is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dartford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dorking have a series of home games.

Dorking will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dartford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Dartford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English National League South
22.02.22	Hungerford Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Dartford - Bath City	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
12.02.22	Needham Market - Dartford	1:0 ✺
English National League South
09.02.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	Dartford - Welling United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWW
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
26.02.22	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
05.02.22	Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels	1:3 ✺
01.02.22	Dorking Wanderers - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.10.21	Dorking Wanderers - Dartford	1:0
07.11.20	Dartford - Dorking Wanderers	2:3
04.01.20	Dorking Wanderers - Dartford	2:3
07.09.19	Dartford - Dorking Wanderers	3:4

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