Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 30

Date: 13 March 2023, Monday

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)


	De Graafschap		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	2
	3.2	3.6	1.98
	3.5	3.75	1.92
	3.15	3.55	1.99
	3.48	3.87	2.05
	3.3	3.4	2	Watch
	3.44	3.78	1.99	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	3.67 ↑ (3.31)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
27.8%

Draw
25.4%

Zwolle
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

26%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

De Graafschap - Zwolle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 1.

De Graafschap is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Zwolle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

De Graafschap could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zwolle will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-18.

Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.03.23	Dordrecht - De Graafschap	0:4 ✺
06.03.23	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.03.23	De Graafschap - Ajax	0:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.02.23	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	0:4 ✺
19.02.23	De Graafschap - Roda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.03.23	Willem II - Zwolle	2:3 ✺
03.03.23	Zwolle - Den Bosch	13:0 ✺
27.02.23	MVV Maastricht - Zwolle	3:2 ✺
17.02.23	ADO Den Haag - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
10.02.23	Zwolle - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.08.22	Zwolle - De Graafschap	2:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
26.10.21	Zwolle - De Graafschap	4:1
Dutch Eredivisie
23.02.19	Zwolle - De Graafschap	0:3
01.12.18	De Graafschap - Zwolle	0:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.18	De Graafschap - Zwolle	2:5
Dutch Eredivisie
05.03.16	Zwolle - De Graafschap	2:1
15.08.15	De Graafschap - Zwolle	0:3

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