Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 24

Date: 10 February 2023, Friday

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)

Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)


	Zwolle		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	11
	1.23	6.25	9.25
	1.25	5.75	9.5
	1.25	6.22	11.7
	1.22	5.5	11
	1.24	6.25	11	Watch
	1.24	6	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.38)	6 ↑ (4.5)	10.41 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
75.4%

Draw
15.6%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.3%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

19.3%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zwolle's performance.

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Zwolle - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: Zwolle will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Zwolle in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jong AZ is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zwolle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zwolle is certain favorite.

There will not play in Zwolle: Zitman S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Jong AZ: Dekker M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jong AZ: Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.02.23	Jong Ajax - Zwolle	0:0 ✺
30.01.23	Roda - Zwolle	1:2 ✺
27.01.23	Zwolle - FC Oss	4:1 ✺
20.01.23	Zwolle - VVV-Venlo	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Heracles Almelo - Zwolle	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWWW
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.02.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo	4:3 ✺
27.01.23	NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	5:1 ✺
23.01.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
13.01.23	Telstar - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
09.01.23	Jong Utrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.09.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:3

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