Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 29 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)


	Defensa y Justicia		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	5.75	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5.25
	1.66	3.5	5.75
	1.72	3.37	5.83
	1.67	3.2	5.25
	1.71	3.52	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.91)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)	5.44 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
55.1%

Draw
27.7%

Millonarios
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

26.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensa y Justicia's performance.

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millonarios might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Millonarios could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Defensa y Justicia - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Millonarios will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Unsain E. (G) 6. Colombo N. 4. Tripichio N. 25. Cardona T. 3. Soto A. 32. Sant'Anna A. 5. Gutierrez K. 17. Alanis G. 10. Bogarin R. 11. Togni G. 29. Fernandez N.	31. Montero A. (G) 13. Perlaza E. 26. Llinas A. 17. Arias J. 3. Bertel O. 8. Giraldo D. 28. Vega S. 10. Catano D. 14. Silva D. 16. Valencia J. 20. Uribe F.
Substitutes
19. Barbona D. 23. Bologna E. (G) 26. Caceres D. 30. Castellani G. 15. Escalante L. T. 28. Fedele L. 8. Lopez J. 2. Malatini J. 21. Ramos S. 35. Schamine F. 27. Solari S. 20. Versaci F.	22. Alba I. 35. Brochero R. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 15. Hernandez E. 1. Moreno J. (G) 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 32. Moreno Robles K. E. 2. Murillo A. 25. Paredes Bustamante L. A. 21. Pereira J. 6. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 5. Vasquez L.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Gamero A.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Millonarios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.06.23	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	3:1 ✺
13.06.23	Defensa y Justicia - Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.06.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensa y Justicia	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.06.23	River Plate - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLT
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
24.06.23	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
21.06.23	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
17.06.23	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.06.23	América Mineiro - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Millonarios - Defensa y Justicia	3:0

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