Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 3

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	Defensa y Justicia		Sarmiento de Junín

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.33
	1.87	3.5	4.4
	1.94	3.45	4.34
	1.89	3.48	4.15	Watch
	1.92	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.87)	3.4 ↑ (3.16)	4.26 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
49.7%

Draw
28%

Sarmiento de Junín
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

29.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

29.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Defensa y Justicia - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions

Users Predictions: Defensa y Justicia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bologna E. (G) 32. Sant'Anna A. 2. Malatini J. 21. Ramos S. 26. Caceres D. 8. Lopez J. 34. Lopez L. 10. Bogarin R. 29. Fernandez N. 7. Duarte M. 27. Solari S.	1. Devecchi J. (G) 25. Bettini G. 32. Paredes F. 2. Insaurralde J. 33. Diaz G. 20. Quiroz M. 15. Calcaterra D. 10. Quiroga S. 8. Mainero G. 7. Lopez L. 9. Marinelli A.
Substitutes
19. Barbona D. 12. Beron J. 25. Cardona T. 30. Castellani G. 15. Escalante L. T. 22. Fiermarin C. (G) 6. Gissi D. 18. Pratto L. 9. Rios A. 35. Schamine F. 11. Togni G. 4. Tripichio N.	35. Cerato L. 19. Fontana A. 29. Garcia M. 4. Garnier Y. 28. Gho J. 27. Hernandez E. 31. Mancilla H. 16. Melano L. 30. Monaco M. 22. Monetti F. (G) 17. Rosso J. 6. Sbuttoni F.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Lavallen P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 2.

Defensa y Justicia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sarmiento de Junín is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sarmiento de Junín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sarmiento de Junín have a series of home games.

In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.

There will not play in Sarmiento de Junín: Arismendi Y. (Injury) Ferreyra F. (Injury) Mauri J. (Injury) Paradela F. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Defensa y Justicia to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana
30.08.23	Defensa y Justicia - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.08.23	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
08.08.23	Defensa y Justicia - Emelec	1:0 ✺
01.08.23	Emelec - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTTWW
- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.08.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.07.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Banfield	0:0 ✺
23.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Sarmiento de Junín	3:0 ✺
14.07.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Sarmiento de Junín	3:0
15.07.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.04.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.21	Defensa y Justicia - Sarmiento de Junín	4:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.03.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.06.17	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia	1:0
18.09.15	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia	2:1

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