Match Info

Date: 25 November 2020, Wednesday


	Delfín		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.15
	3.55	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.65	3.2	2.03
	3.88	3.26	2.13
	3.7	3.3	2.05
	3.78	3.48	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.32)	3.27 ↑ (3.26)	2.05 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
25.7%

Draw
28.7%

Palmeiras
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

28.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.5%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.6%	6.3%	19%

Delfín - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 47 - 74.6%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 12 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Delfín: 63.9% – 85.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Delfín is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palmeiras is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Palmeiras will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.11.20	Emelec - Delfín	3:2 ✺
18.11.20	Delfín - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
13.11.20	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	2:1 ✺
10.11.20	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
06.11.20	El Nacional - Delfín	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLW
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
21.11.20	Goiás - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.11.20	Ceará - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.11.20	Palmeiras - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.11.20	Palmeiras - Ceará	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.11.20	Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWWW

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