Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Den Bosch		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.57	Watch
	4.25	4	1.6
	4.8	3.85	1.64	Watch
	4.6	4	1.61
	4.95	4.4	1.66
	4.6	3.8	1.6	Watch
	4.85	4.3	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (4.51)	4.05 ↑ (3.94)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
19.8%

Draw
22.9%

NEC Nijmegen
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

23.5%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

19.4%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Den Bosch - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Den Bosch is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nijmegen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nijmegen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Den Bosch won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.11.20	Cambuur - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
20.11.20	Den Bosch - Jong Ajax	2:2 ✺
15.11.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Den Bosch	3:0 ✺
06.11.20	Den Bosch - Jong PSV	1:2 ✺
31.10.20	Roda - Den Bosch	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLLT
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - MVV Maastricht	2:1 ✺
23.11.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	0:3 ✺
20.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - Roda	1:1 ✺
06.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - Helmond Sport	2:2 ✺
30.10.20	NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.01.20	NEC Nijmegen - Den Bosch	1:0
13.09.19	Den Bosch - NEC Nijmegen	2:2
15.03.19	NEC Nijmegen - Den Bosch	5:0
07.12.18	Den Bosch - NEC Nijmegen	3:2
26.01.18	NEC Nijmegen - Den Bosch	1:0
08.09.17	Den Bosch - NEC Nijmegen	3:0
24.04.15	Den Bosch - NEC Nijmegen	1:3

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