Match Info

Date: 30 November 2020, Monday


	NEC Nijmegen		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.75	10
	1.33	5	6.5
	1.33	5.25	7.5	Watch
	1.29	5.4	7.6
	1.33	5.99	8.92
	1.27	5	8.5	Watch
	1.31	5.8	8.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	5.46 ↑ (4.66)	8.26 ↑ (6.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
71.6%

Draw
17.1%

MVV Maastricht
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

20%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.2%

16.7%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	0%	23.3%

NEC Nijmegen - MVV Maastricht Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Maastricht will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Relegation) and 17).

Nijmegen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maastricht is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nijmegen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nijmegen is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nijmegen to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.11.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	0:3 ✺
20.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - Roda	1:1 ✺
06.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - Helmond Sport	2:2 ✺
30.10.20	NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen	0:1 ✺
23.10.20	NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTWW
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.11.20	MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV	3:3 ✺
14.11.20	Roda - MVV Maastricht	2:0 ✺
06.11.20	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	1:4 ✺
30.10.20	Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht	1:1 ✺
23.10.20	MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.01.20	MVV Maastricht - NEC Nijmegen	0:0
25.10.19	NEC Nijmegen - MVV Maastricht	2:0
03.05.19	MVV Maastricht - NEC Nijmegen	1:1
14.12.18	NEC Nijmegen - MVV Maastricht	0:1
16.02.18	MVV Maastricht - NEC Nijmegen	4:1
29.09.17	NEC Nijmegen - MVV Maastricht	4:1
20.03.15	MVV Maastricht - NEC Nijmegen	1:4

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