Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 2 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN
Slovenia	SportKlub


	NEC Nijmegen		Roda

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.55	3.9	4.6	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5
	1.55	4.16	5.15
	1.5	4	5
	1.57	4.3	5.2	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)	4.11 ↑ (3.6)	5.09 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
59.3%

Draw
22.5%

Roda
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

NEC Nijmegen - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 4. Ross M. 24. Verdonk C. 15. Wermeskerken S. V. 20. Schone L. (C) 8. Mattsson M. 71. Proper D. 7. Tavsan E. 11. Gonzalez R. 14. Larsen L. O.	22. Hamers L. (G) 44. Reith B. 3. Didden M. (C) 4. Koglin B. 15. Beerten L. 6. Spieringhs W. 10. Ould Chikh W. 17. Dzepar O. 25. Ouaissa S. 29. Guclu M. 7. Pena-Zauner E.
Substitutes
21. Arts D. 1. Cillessen J. (G) 6. Hoedemakers M. 31. Janse R. (G) 32. Rossen N. 23. Sano K. 33. Sonmez S. C.	27. Bangura S. 20. Been L. 30. Boon D. 14. Daneels L. 19. Krasniqi L. 11. Pourie M. 13. Roseler N. 9. Schmid M. 18. Sposito F. 23. Steins J. (G) 8. Vossebelt N.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
21.10.23	NEC Nijmegen - Almere City	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	NEC Nijmegen - Vitesse	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLWL
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.23	Roda - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Roda - Willem II	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	VVV-Venlo - Roda	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
29.09.23	De Graafschap - Roda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
20.05.21	NEC Nijmegen - Roda	3:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.02.21	Roda - NEC Nijmegen	1:3
20.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - Roda	1:1
23.08.19	Roda - NEC Nijmegen	1:2
08.03.19	NEC Nijmegen - Roda	1:0
08.09.18	Roda - NEC Nijmegen	2:3
Dutch Eredivisie
22.01.17	NEC Nijmegen - Roda	2:0

Upcoming Matches