Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Cali		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.82	2.88	2.72	Watch
	3	2.96	2.73
	2.79	2.88	2.79	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.63
	2.88	2.88	2.68	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.82)	2.86 ↓ (3.2)	2.71 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
32.7%

Draw
32.7%

Independiente Medellín
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29.2%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Cali (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Deportivo Cali (1.95) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Cali (votes: 4 - 80%). Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 27. Viafara F. 2. Aguilar F. 4. Alvarez F. 3. Correa A. 25. Colorado A. 13. Quintero Y. 19. Martinez J. 10. Reynoso E. 18. Hurtado A. (C) 9. Dinenno J.	1. Ichazo S. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 4. Mantilla K. 33. Londono D. 6. Moreno D. 26. Mena Perea E. 16. Loboa H. 7. Berrio L. 13. Chaverra F. 11. Yony Gonzalez 19. Fydriszewski F. (C)
Substitutes
11. Aponza J. 17. Arango J. 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 8. Giraldo D. 28. Luis Orejuela 6. Pajaro R. 32. Rojo A. (G) 26. Tello J. 23. Titi	25. Chaux E. (G) 9. Larrosa E. 17. Mancilla G. 20. Montano J. 31. Moreno D. 24. Ortiz J. 23. Palacios M. 8. Serna A. 18. Viveros J.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Aguilar F. 🟨,
24', Quintero Y. 🟨,
25', Chaverra L. 🟨,
26', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
36', Londono D. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
37', Londono D. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Hurtado A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', Reynoso E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Quintero Y. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
46', Reynoso E. ↓, Titi ↑,
46', Berrio L. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
63', Hurtado A. ↓, Aponza J. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Titi ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
73', Chaverra L. ↓, Mancilla G. ↑,
73', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Mancilla G. ⚽, Larrosa E. (A),
76', Correa A. 🟨,
82', 3 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
83', Moreno D. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
84', Dinenno J. ↓, Pajaro R. ↑,
90+3', Martinez J. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
90+5', Aponza J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 1.

Ind Medellín is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Cali	13	7	4	2	20:9	11	25
7	Ind. Medellin	12	6	2	4	19:16	3	20

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Cali - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Independiente Medellín - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.67%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
18.01.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
13.11.25	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
18.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
17.12.25	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.12.25	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
04.12.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
30.08.25	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	1:3
16.03.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali	0:0
04.08.24	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:0
05.02.24	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali	1:0
22.09.23	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:2
12.04.23	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali	3:0
21.07.22	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:2

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