Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Referee: Matorel L. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportivo La Equidad		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.5	3	2.65
	2.38	3	3.15	Watch
	2.38	3.02	3.32
				Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.88
	2.4	2.96	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.6)	3 ↑ (2.97)	3.09 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Equidad
38.4%

Draw
31.2%

Rionegro Águilas
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

31.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Deportivo La Equidad - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. La Equidad will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anca E. E. (G) 13. Abonia Y. 4. Rodas M. 2. Vivas C. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 8. Monaco M. 14. Colorado J. 5. Masllorens J. 23. Castillo Y. 7. Micolta Piedahita J. 30. Parra Atehortua K.	1. Farinez W. (G) 4. Puerta M. 2. Rodriguez S. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 22. Lozano F. 5. Hernandez D. 16. Pineda J. 32. Mena J. 11. Yony Gonzalez 23. Caballero J. 19. Morelo W. (C)
Substitutes
28. Chaverra F. 33. Copete D. 32. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 24. Montano B. 18. Paternina C. 22. Pena D. 9. Valencia J.	12. Banguera G. (G) 90. Benitez Hernandez R. A. 6. Blanco Betancur C. 26. Lozano D. 27. Mancilla H. 33. Oliveros A. 7. Plata A.
Coaches
Merino D.	de Muner P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Colorado J. 🟨,
17', Mena J. 🟨,
29', Lara Vasquez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mena J. ↓, Blanco Betancur C. ↑,
57', Colorado J. 🟥,
60', Puerta M. 🟥,
71', Masllorens J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
74', Pineda J. ↓, Oliveros A. ↑,
75', Morelo W. ↓, Plata A. ↑,
79', Castillo Y. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
81', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
87', Caballero J. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
88', Copete D. 🟨,
89', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Pena D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 0.

Recent form of La Equidad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rionegro Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
28.05.25	Leones - Deportivo La Equidad	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.05.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Rionegro Águilas - Orsomarso	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas	4:0 ✺
31.05.25	Rionegro Águilas - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.05.25	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
27.01.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1
17.08.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Rionegro Águilas	0:0
13.02.24	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1
20.10.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Rionegro Águilas	1:1
Colombian Copa
16.08.23	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo La Equidad	3:1 penalties
25.07.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Rionegro Águilas	1:0
Colombian Primera A
05.05.23	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1

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