Match Info

Date: 26 April 2022, Tuesday


	Deportivo La Guaira		Independiente

	1	X	2
	6	3.5	1.7
	4.8	3.4	1.75
	5.1	3.2	1.74
	4.8	3.3	1.7
	5.48	3.41	1.75
	4.75	3.1	1.75	Watch
	4.75	3.42	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (4.31)	3.33 ↑ (3.28)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Guaira
18.3%

Draw
27.9%

Independiente
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.9%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

27.3%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	23.1%	38.5%

Deportivo La Guaira - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo La Guaira: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Deportivo La Guaira is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Independiente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo La Guaira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Aragua	3:3 ✺
16.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Ceará	0:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.04.22	Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.22	General Caballero JLM - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLT
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
23.04.22	Rosario Central - Independiente	3:0 ✺
19.04.22	Independiente - Aldosivi	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Colón - Independiente	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.04.22	Independiente - General Caballero JLM	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.04.22	Independiente - Tigre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTWT

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