Match Info
ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 16Date: 13 May 2023, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Independiente |
|
Tigre |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.63 |
3.2 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.55 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.63 |
3.1 |
2.85 |
|
 |
2.77 |
3.04 |
2.91 |
|
 |
2.7 |
2.98 |
2.84 |
 Watch |
 |
2.6 |
3.05 |
2.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.88) |
3.08 ↑
(3) |
2.83 ↑
(2.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Independiente
35.8% | Draw
30.7% | Tigre
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+2.8%)Independiente - Tigre Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tigre will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 16.1% – 74.9%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 25 and 11).Independiente has the most likely position - 24 (6.78%), project points - 31, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (<1%).Tigre has the most likely position - 9 (7.26%), project points - 39, currently - 21, a very small chance of win league (<1%).This event has quality 40, very small importance 0, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 0. Recent matches Independiente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Tigre is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Independiente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.There will not play in Independiente: Gomez L.
(Injury)
Marquez De Meneses R. L.
(Injury)
Pozzo T. A.
(Injury)There will not play in Tigre: Protti I.
(Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Independiente won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11. Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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