Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Uru)


	Deportivo Maldonado		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.15	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.27	3.15	3.54
	2.28	3.14	3.54
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.15	3.25	3.37	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.18)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	3.34 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
42.9%

Draw
29.2%

Miramar Misiones
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Deportivo Maldonado - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bermudez E. (G) 3. Menosse H. 8. Gonzalez P. 19. Tealde F. 32. Petryk H. 26. Larrazabal G. 28. Cartagena S. 74. Romero D. 10. Cantera M. 9. Ruben M. 37. Noble Sequeira A. M.	30. Alvarez L. (G) 6. Pintos M. 15. Alonso F. 29. Ayala J. 16. Gomez M. 14. Pereira G. 11. Cruz C. 10. Lombardi M. (C) 26. Trasante J. 22. Machado A. 20. Cabrera M.
Substitutes
20. Alfaro A. 17. Centeno B. 21. de Leon E. 23. Diana S. 4. Fuica N. 29. Gonzalez A. 47. Ramirez S. 27. Rodriguez A. 31. Silva G. (G) 34. Trasante G.	5. Alvarez E. 32. Fernandez M. 18. Ferreira M. 1. Giossa L. (G) 23. Nunez D. 25. Olivera D. 17. Rodriguez M. 28. Schiavulli T. 39. Vazquez A. 7. Yepez I.
Coaches
Boghossian J.	Caruso R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Cabrera M. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Cantera M. ⚽,
35', Lombardi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gomez M. 🟨,
60', Pereira G. 🟨,
69', Pereira G. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
69', Cruz C. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
75', Ruben M. ↓, de Leon E. ↑,
81', Cabrera M. ↓, Olivera D. ↑,
81', Machado A. ↓, Yepez I. ↑,
81', Larrazabal G. ↓, Diana S. ↑,
82', Cantera M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
87', Cartagena S. 🟨,
88', Cartagena S. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
89', Gonzalez P. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Nunez D. ⚽,
90+3', Gomez M. ↓, Schiavulli T. ↑,
90+7', Noble Sequeira A. M. 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Maldonado is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Miramar Misiones is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Maldonado will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.04.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
11.03.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWT
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.04.24	Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Miramar Misiones - Cerro	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Rampla Juniors - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	Miramar Misiones - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTT

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