The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Municipal 10.9%
Draw 17.9%
Alianza Lima 71.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.1%
24.1%
58.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.1%
24.1%
58.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Municipal's form might have worsened.
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Municipal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
9.1%
36.4%
Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Lima Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Municipal: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 14. Nunes J. 3. Rugel L. 26. Toledo J. 15. Cavagna F. 22. Cespedes J. (C) 19. Correa Vilela E. I. 10. Perez Garcia M. 18. Flores C. 16. Galvez del Cuadro S. 32. Erustes P.
1. Campos A. (G) 28. Chavez E. 6. Miguez P. 2. Garcia S. 13. Lagos R. 16. Castillo J. 21. Ballon J. (C) 17. Concha J. 11. Reyna B. 22. Rodriguez A. 9. Barcos H.
Substitutes
35. Ampuero A. 23. Cabrera E. 13. Moyano D. 30. Ortega Barquero F. A. 34. Panduro M. 21. Romero J. 33. Solis C. (G) 36. Yanez A.
10. Cueva C. 19. Sabbag P. 32. Saravia F. (G) 27. Valenzuela O. 3. Vilchez Y. 5. Zambrano C. 23. Zanelatto F.
Coaches
Castillo R.
Salas G.
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Alianza Lima is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Municipal won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-30.
Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.
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Rivadeneyra S. (G) 
Perez Garcia M. 
Miguez P. 
Sabbag P. 
Zanelatto F. 
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