The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Municipal 42.2%
Draw 27.4%
Alianza Atlético 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
26.3%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
27.8%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Municipal's form might have worsened.
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Atlético's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Municipal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Atlético Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 15. Cavagna F. 2. Evangelista F. 3. Rugel L. 4. Aguilar R. 10. Perez Garcia M. 18. Flores C. 32. Erustes P. 17. Soto D. 14. Nunes J. 9. Ramos L.
21. Melian D. (G) 30. Perleche A. 14. Alburqueque L. 24. Pizzorno A. 15. Mendieta Rojas J. A. 31. Serra P. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 27. Cornejo M. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 22. Larios Saavedra G. A. 9. Fernandez A.
Substitutes
23. Cabrera E. 16. Galvez del Cuadro S. 25. Guzman W. 8. Jaurena S. 30. Ortega Barquero F. A. 6. Pena K. 33. Solis C. (G) 28. Solis L. 26. Toledo J.
6. Aguirre J. 28. Carranza J. 17. Fernandez F. 25. Ibanez F. E. 11. Matzuda M. 1. Nicosia F. (G) 3. Ortiz M. 18. Rebagliati S. 10. Torres R.
Coaches
Comizzo A.
Gonzales A.
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 2.
Municipal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Alianza Atlético is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alianza Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Municipal will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Municipal won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
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Rivadeneyra S. (G) 
Evangelista F. 
Melian D. (G) 
Fernandez A. 
Torres R. 
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