The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Saprissa 54.9%
Draw 24.4%
Sporting San José 20.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.5%
27.7%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
28.1%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Saprissa's performance.
Sporting San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting San José might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Saprissa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting San José than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Deportivo Saprissa - Sporting San José Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Madriz A. (G) 17. Taylor Dosman G. G. 4. Waston K. 21. Escobar F. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 25. Acuna S. 28. Torres G. 20. Torres M. (C) 26. Soto A. 23. Paradela L. 7. Williams N.
23. Moreira L. (G) 22. Salas Y. 20. Bolanos R. 5. Soto A. 3. Espinoza K. 8. Pineda C. 7. Pinto J. 34. Rojas Rodriguez M. 6. Leiva G. 19. Mendez J. 9. George Clayton M.
Substitutes
13. Alfaro I. (G) 3. Arboine P. 39. Barahona A. 6. Duarte O. 8. Guzman D. 11. Hernandez B. 5. Mora J. 14. Rodriguez A. 24. Sinclair O. 46. Woodly D.
14. Colindres D. 98. Gomez I. 36. Hernandez J. 99. Leal R. (G) 10. Lopez A. 28. Navarro J. 33. Pastrana E. 16. Ramirez R. 2. Salinas Y. 21. Urena M.
Coaches
Medford H.
Carevic A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Acuna S. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Soto A. ⚽,
35', Mendez J. 🟨,
38', 3 - 0, Azofeifa Rivas J. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mendez J. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
46', Leiva G. ↓, Urena M. ↑,
55', 4 - 0, Torres G. ⚽,
59', Acuna S. 🟨,
60', Pineda C. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
68', 5 - 0, Waston K. ⚽,
70', Torres G. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
70', Soto A. ↓, Woodly D. ↑,
75', Torres M. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
75', Williams N. ↓, Sinclair O. ↑,
75', Paradela L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
79', 6 - 0, Sinclair O. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saprissa won 2.
Saprissa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sporting San José is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Saprissa for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saprissa has recorded 14 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:16 (averaging 1.7:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saprissa against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 22:7 goals (averaging 2.2:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Saprissa
13
8
0
5
27:14
13
24
3
Sporting FC
13
7
3
3
26:20
6
24
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Saprissa - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 46.49%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Costa Rica
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Madriz A. (G) 
Escobar F. 
Torres M. (C) 
Paradela L. 
Pineda C. 
Hernandez B. 
Pastrana E. 
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