Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	Deportivo Saprissa		UNAM

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3	2.3
	3.3	3.3	2.2
	3.35	3.05	2.12
	3.61	3.38	2.12
	3	3	2.25
	3.42	3.32	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.85)	3.16 ↑ (3)	2.18 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Saprissa
27.6%

Draw
29.6%

UNAM
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

30.1%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.4%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Saprissa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNAM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Saprissa - UNAM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Deportivo Saprissa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches UNAM is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UNAM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
13.02.22	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
08.02.22	Deportivo Saprissa - Santos de Guápiles	1:2 ✺
04.02.22	Herediano - Deportivo Saprissa	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	2:4 ✺
16.01.22	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTLL
- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
13.02.22	UNAM - Club León	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Tijuana - UNAM	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	UNAM - Tigres UANL	1:2 ✺
14.01.22	Querétaro - UNAM	1:3 ✺
10.01.22	UNAM - Toluca	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWW

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