Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Los Cuchumatanes (Huehuetenango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com


	Deportivo Xinabajul		Xelajú

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.45	2.7
	2.8	2.65	2.75
	2.96	2.65	2.86	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.82	2.65	2.65
	2.8	2.65	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.19)	2.64 ↓ (3.06)	2.7 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Guatemala Liga Nacional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Xinabajul
32.1%

Draw
34.3%

Xelajú
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Xinabajul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Xinabajul's form might have worsened.

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Xelajú's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Xinabajul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xelajú, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Xinabajul - Xelajú Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Xelajú (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) . Alvarado E. 17. Aquino D. 20. Baltazar Y. 7. Ceballos M. 32. Gonzalez F. 70. Hernandez Y. 18. Jucup N. 8. Ubico J. 5. Vasquez E. 23. Yori E.	29. Calderon J. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 9. Baez P. 27. Cummings H. 6. de Leon M. 26. de Oliveira C. 7. Diaz Y. 77. Longo J. 25. Ruiz K. 13. Tebalan W. 15. Vargas J.
Substitutes
10. Chavasco G. 4. Cifuentes A. 3. Gomez F. 29. Lopez D. 99. Lopez K. 6. Marroquin E. 13. Mendoza O. (G) 15. Trigueros W. 2. Velasquez K.	16. Cardona J. . Cardoza E. 18. Castaneda J. 3. Chuc D. 14. Gonzalez J. 22. Lobos N. (G) 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. 24. Racancoj J. 10. Villa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Tebalan W. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Tebalan W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 🟨,
46', 1 - 2, Gonzalez F. ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Aquino D. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Xinabajul won 1.

Recent matches Xinabajul is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Xelajú is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xinabajul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Xinabajul won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:18 (average 0.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Xinabajul won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Xinabajul
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.04.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:1 ✺
13.03.25	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Marquense	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Comunicaciones	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TLWLW
- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
29.03.25	Municipal - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Xelajú - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
05.03.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	0:3 ✺
27.02.25	Comunicaciones - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.02.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	7:2
07.09.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0
28.02.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Xelajú	0:0
01.02.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0
17.09.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Xelajú	2:0
12.08.23	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:1
08.04.23	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	0:0

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