Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena (Tbilisi)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Dinamo Tbilisi		Astana

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.33	3.15	3.2
	2.3	3.15	3.3
	2.31	3.2	3.34
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.25	3.18	3.35	Watch
	2.31	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.38)	3.14 ↑ (3.14)	3.27 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Tbilisi
41.4%

Draw
29.9%

Astana
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.8%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

29.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	31.6%	10.5%

Dinamo Tbilisi - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dinamo Tbilisi will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Astana will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Tbilisi: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Loria G. (G) 2. Mali N. 33. Margvelashvili G. 13. Tabidze J. 3. Kalandadze A. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 18. Osei B. 12. Kharaishvili G. 11. Oulad Omar I. 28. Camara O. 7. Skhirtladze D. (C)	93. Condric J. (G) 15. Beysebekov A. (C) 22. Marochkin A. 33. Tomasevic Z. 45. Amanovic A. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 10. Tomasov M. 29. Jovancic D. 7. Ebong M. 23. Ourega F. 88. Darboe D.
Substitutes
14. Iobashvili J. 1. Kereselidze D. (G) 4. Khvadagiani S. 24. Kobouri D. 30. Kutaladze L. (G) 21. Lakvekheliani L. 31. Maisuradze G. 32. Marusic Z. 8. Moistsrapishvili G. 39. Odisharia L. 16. Osikmashvili L. 38. Sigua G.	21. Astanov E. 17. Aymbetov A. 72. Basmanov S. 11. Darabayev A. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 3. Haroyan V. 13. Hovhannisyan K. 8. Kuat I. 44. Loncar S. 31. Podymskiy D. (G) 20. Prokopenko V. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G)
Coaches
Chiabrishvili G.	Babayan G.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Dinamo Tbilisi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dinamo Tbilisi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Tbilisi
UEFA Champions League
12.07.23	Astana - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
04.07.23	Dinamo Batumi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 penalties ✺
30.06.23	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	2:1 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
05.06.23	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samtredia	3:0 ✺
01.06.23	Iberia 1999 - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWWL
- FC Astana
UEFA Champions League
12.07.23	Astana - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
06.07.23	Ordabasy - Astana	2:0 ET ✺
Kazakh Premier League
02.07.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
28.06.23	Astana - Ordabasy	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
24.06.23	Astana - Kaspiy Aktau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
12.07.23	Astana - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:1

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