Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 27

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Lewis R. (Eng)


	Gillingham		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.8
	2.1	3.1	3.7
	2.08	3.2	3.8
	2.04	3.15	3.65
	2.08	3.28	4.04
	2.1	3	3.8
	2.1	3.25	3.98	Watch
	2.03	3.1	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.2)	3.17 ↑ (3.09)	3.8 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
45.6%

Draw
29.7%

Hartlepool United
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Gillingham - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Gillingham has the most likely position - 24 (39.26%), has project points - 38, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (62%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (31.13%), has project points - 40, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 6, importance 56, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Gillingham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hartlepool is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gillingham will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Hartlepool to win the game is with odds 3.66.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Gillingham - Leicester City	0:1 ✺
English League Two
02.01.23	Stevenage Borough - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
29.12.22	Sutton United - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Gillingham - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
20.12.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hartlepool United
English FA Cup
08.01.23	Hartlepool United - Stoke City	0:3 ✺
English League Two
01.01.23	Hartlepool United - Harrogate Town	3:3 ✺
29.12.22	Hartlepool United - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:2 ✺
09.12.22	Crawley Town - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
24.09.22	Hartlepool United - Gillingham	0:0
English FA Cup
21.11.18	Hartlepool United - Gillingham	3:4 ET
10.11.18	Gillingham - Hartlepool United	0:0

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