Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hartlepool United		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	7.5	4	1.5	Watch
	5.75	4.1	1.47
	6.5	4.5	1.48
	6	4.2	1.49
	7.14	4.39	1.49
	6	4	1.47	Watch
	6.05	4.55	1.48	Watch
	6	4.2	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.37 ↓ (6.47)	4.24 ↓ (4.29)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
14.7%

Draw
22.1%

Stoke City
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

21.6%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

23.4%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stoke City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	25%	45%

Hartlepool United - Stoke City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Stoke will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Stoke is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English League Two
01.01.23	Hartlepool United - Harrogate Town	3:3 ✺
29.12.22	Hartlepool United - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:2 ✺
09.12.22	Crawley Town - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
03.12.22	Hartlepool United - Stockport County	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TLWWL
- Stoke City
English League Championship
02.01.23	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
30.12.22	Stoke City - Burnley	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Rotherham United - Stoke City	2:2 ✺
17.12.22	Bristol City - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Stoke City - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWT

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