Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday


	Doncaster Rovers		Nottingham Forest U21

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	4
	1.68	4.2	4
	1.75	4.25	4.12
	1.74	4.28	4.05
	2.05	3.7	2.7
	1.68	4.1	4.15
	1.7	4.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.02)	4.1 ↑ (3.8)	3.84 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doncaster Rovers
53.2%

Draw
22.6%

Nottingham Forest U21
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

23.8%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

24.7%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Doncaster Rovers's performance.

Nottingham Forest U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nottingham Forest U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Doncaster Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest U21 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nottingham Forest U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Doncaster Rovers - Nottingham Forest U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Doncaster Rovers will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lawlor I. (G) 5. Olowu J. 35. Goodman J. 17. Bailey O. 38. Flint W. 7. Molyneux L. 8. Broadbent G. 10. Rowe T. (C) 14. Biggins H. 21. Hurst K. 22. Roberts T. A.	38. Shelvey G. (G) 91. Perkins J. 68. Thompson J. 65. Hanks J. 64. Hammond B. 55. Powell J. 48. Konate A. 41. Aguilera Zamora B. 56. Abbott Z. 59. McDonnell J. (C) 57. Larsson J.
Substitutes
4. Anderson T. 33. Close B. 36. Faal M. 20. Ironside J. 12. Jones L. (G) 16. Nixon T. 2. Sterry J.	1. Bott A. (G) 2. Clarridge J. 4. Gardner J. 3. Johnson P. 6. McAdam K. 5. Nadin J. 7. Norkett M.
Coaches
McCann G.	Joyce W.

Preview

Recent matches Doncaster is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nottingham U21 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Doncaster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Doncaster have a series of guest games.

Doncaster will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doncaster Rovers
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Peterborough United - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Doncaster Rovers - Colchester United	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Crewe Alexandra - Doncaster Rovers	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ET ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL
- Nottingham Forest U21
English Premier League 2
01.12.23	West Ham United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.11.23	Accrington Stanley - Nottingham Forest U21	1:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
11.11.23	Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	0:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
03.11.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	2:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
25.10.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Nice II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWTW

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