Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 25

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Dumbarton Football Stadium (Dumbarton)


	Dumbarton		Montrose

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	2.39	3.2	2.65
	2.52	3.45	2.63
	2.51	3.44	2.66
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.51	3.46	2.62	Watch
	2.39	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.34)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	2.63 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumbarton
37.4%

Draw
27.6%

Montrose
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

27.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

26.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Dumbarton - Montrose Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sliwinski M. (G) 24. Clark C. 7. Orsi K. 5. Durnan M. (C) 12. Pignatiello C. 31. Miller M. 20. Niang M. 17. Hilton J. 18. Webster K. 21. McGuffie C. 23. Ruth M.	1. Gill C. (G) 12. Freeman K. 5. Waddell K. 4. Quinn A. 3. Steeves A. 16. Sandilands C. 6. Masson T. (C) 10. Gardyne M. 9. Stirton O. 26. Wighton C. 11. Lyons B.
Substitutes
6. Blair R. 14. Gilfedder A. 10. Gray F. 2. Lynas A. 9. Mumbongo J. 13. Smallwood L. 11. Wallace T. 8. Wilson D. 3. Young G.	20. Bertie K. 22. Brown C. 14. Dillon S. 23. Machado M. 15. Maciver-Redwood B. 21. Matthews R. (G) 17. Shrive A. 8. Watson P. 7. Webster G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', Hilton J. ↓, Gray F. ↑,
13', 0 - 1, Stirton O. (Pen),
18', Masson T. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Ruth M. (Pen),
24', 1 - 2, Stirton O. ⚽, Sandilands C. (A),
31', Waddell K. 🟨,
37', 2 - 2, Pignatiello C. ⚽, Gray F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Waddell K. ↓, Dillon S. ↑,
68', Orsi K. ↓, Wallace T. ↑,
68', 2 - 3, Quinn A. ⚽, Gardyne M. (A),
73', Wighton C. ↓, Webster G. ↑,
75', Niang M. ↓, Wilson D. ↑,
75', Webster K. ↓, Lynas A. ↑,
76', Ruth M. ↓, Mumbongo J. ↑,
83', Masson T. ↓, Bertie K. ↑,
83', Lyons B. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
88', Dillon S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 1.

Dumbarton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montrose is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dumbarton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:21 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Dumbarton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumbarton
Scottish League One
08.02.25	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Queen of the South - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Dumbarton - Airdrieonians	1:5 ✺
Scottish League One
04.01.25	Inverness - Dumbarton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
11.02.25	Cove Rangers - Montrose	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Montrose - Alloa Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Montrose - Stenhousemuir	0:3 ✺
25.01.25	Annan Athletic - Montrose	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Queens Park - Montrose	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
21.12.24	Montrose - Dumbarton	1:2
21.09.24	Dumbarton - Montrose	0:1
26.03.22	Dumbarton - Montrose	0:0
05.02.22	Montrose - Dumbarton	1:1
11.12.21	Dumbarton - Montrose	1:3
28.08.21	Montrose - Dumbarton	1:2
06.04.21	Dumbarton - Montrose	0:0

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