Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Eibar		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.24	3.07	3.83
	2.19	3.08	3.7	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.5
	2.24	3.04	3.75	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.12)	3.01 ↓ (3.16)	3.62 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
43%

Draw
31.1%

Sporting de Gijón
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	18.7%	18.7%

Eibar - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sporting de Gijón (2.46) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Eibar (2.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sporting de Gijón (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 8. Nolaskoain P. 21. Moreno M. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 14. Olaetxea L. 6. Alvarez S. 17. Corpas J. 16. Madariaga A. 10. Guruzeta J. 20. Javier Marton	1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 23. Curbelo E. 15. Vazquez P. 12. Olivan B. 36. Rodriguez M. 14. Corredera A. 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 11. Queipo D. 19. Otero J. (C)
Substitutes
7. Alkain X. 4. Arambarri A. 18. Ares A. 3. Arrillaga H. 9. Bautista J. 27. Garcia H. 30. Garrido A. 15. Jair 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 22. Rodriguez A.	8. Bernal J. 18. Coundoul A. 9. Ferrari A. 3. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 4. Perrin L. 5. Sanchez D. 24. Smith J. 20. Vazquez K.
Coaches
San Jose B.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Corpas J. 🟨,
32', Queipo D. 🟨,
34', Olaetxea L. 🟨,
39', Vazquez P. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Madariaga A. ⚽, Javier Marton (A),
59', Rodriguez M. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
60', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
69', Olaetxea L. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
69', Guruzeta J. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
78', Queipo D. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
83', Otero J. 🟥,
84', Madariaga A. ↓, Jair ↑,
84', Arbilla A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
84', Jimenez B. 🟨,
86', Jair 🟨,
90+2', Ferrari A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 16 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 0.

Eibar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Sporting de Gijón has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sporting de Gijón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Eibar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Eibar: Rodriguez A. (Injury)

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Campos G. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury) Nacho Martin (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21
8	Gijon	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Eibar - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Sporting de Gijón - the odds 3.71 are the expected chance of winning is 25.48%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
25.01.26	Eibar - Almería	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Granada - Eibar	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Burgos - Eibar	1:0 ✺
02.01.26	Eibar - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Eibar - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLWW
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
24.01.26	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	2:4 ✺
09.01.26	Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	1:1
08.02.25	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	0:0
05.10.24	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:3
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	1:0
20.12.23	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
20.05.23	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	2:2

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