Match Info

FINLAND: Veikkausliiga

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Tammisaari Keskuskenttä (Raseborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu
World	Onefootball app


	Ekenäs		IFK Mariehamn

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.45
	2.85	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.99	3.22	2.6
	2.99	3.22	2.58
	2.75	3.2	2.38
	2.9	3.32	2.47	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.77)	3.18 ↓ (3.22)	2.5 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
32.6%

Draw
29.6%

IFK Mariehamn
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

29.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	28.6%	50%

Ekenäs - IFK Mariehamn Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. EIF will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Mariehamn will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mariehamn: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Almeida R. (G) 2. Lehtonen J. 35. Leksell A. 4. Kabashi A. 3. Vehkonen V. 8. Adu E. (C) 14. Lindholm S. 11. Puro E. 24. Kante A. 73. Fofana T. 9. Ojala S.	32. Riikonen M. (G) 30. Okereke E. 22. Machado P. 29. Raitanen P. 4. Auvinen E. 17. Sid R. (C) 20. Patut E. 8. Dahlstrom S. 33. Enqvist D. 18. Olawale M. 77. Cardoso H.
Substitutes
31. Efimov S. 10. Lucas Kaufmann 20. Lundstrom N. 29. Mohamed F. 22. Mohammed N. 30. Pallas E. 90. Rintamaki O. (G)	43. Andersson L. 14. Fonsell M. 7. Larsson A. 28. Nissinen J. 97. Nordqvist M. (G) 10. Ojala M. 6. Sallinen O.
Coaches
Garcia Xatart G.	Wargh J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Kante A. 🟥,
6', Cardoso H. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
31', 0 - 1, Larsson A. ⚽, Dahlstrom S. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Ojala S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Okereke E. ↓, Nissinen J. ↑,
57', Vehkonen V. ↓, Mohamed F. ↑,
57', Fofana T. ↓, Lundstrom N. ↑,
60', Enqvist D. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Sallinen O. ⚽, Raitanen P. (A),
83', Ojala S. ↓, Lucas Kaufmann ↑,
83', Lindholm S. ↓, Pallas E. ↑,
89', Pallas E. 🟨,
89', Dahlstrom S. 🟨,
90+1', Garcia Xatart G. 🟨,
90+2', Kabashi A. 🟨,
90+2', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches EIF won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams EIF won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Cup
16.06.24	PPJ - Ekenäs	1:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
12.06.24	SJK - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
08.06.24	Ekenäs - Gnistan	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Ekenäs - VPS Vaasa	1:2 ✺
26.05.24	KuPS Kuopio - Ekenäs	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL
- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Cup
16.06.24	IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio	1:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
12.06.24	IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa	0:0 ✺
07.06.24	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	2:0 ✺
31.05.24	SJK - IFK Mariehamn	0:2 ✺
26.05.24	IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
06.04.24	IFK Mariehamn - Ekenäs	3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
17.02.24	IFK Mariehamn - Ekenäs	1:2
Club Friendly
30.01.21	IFK Mariehamn - Ekenäs	3:0
Finnish Cup
02.03.18	Ekenäs - IFK Mariehamn	1:0
18.02.17	Ekenäs - IFK Mariehamn	0:1

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