Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Southwest University Park (El Paso, TX)

Referee: Matto J. (Usa)


	El Paso Locomotive		Birmingham Legion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.65	3.3	2.5
	2.59	3.46	2.57
	2.59	3.46	2.57
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.58	3.32	2.53	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.29)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	2.52 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Paso Locomotive
35.9%

Draw
27.6%

Birmingham Legion
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

26.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Paso Locomotive, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

El Paso Locomotive - Birmingham Legion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Waite J. (G) 31. Hinds N. 2. Craig B. 93. Alfaro J. 4. Stauffer L. 6. Calvillo E. 22. Rose L. 18. Moshobane T. 7. Rivas J. 9. Dhillon J. 10. Moreno A.	1. Van Oekel M. (G) 14. Dodson D. 21. Crognale A. 3. Kavita P. 20. Paterson AJ 13. Rufe J. 8. Hernandez-Foster K. 11. McCartney D. 10. Kassim P. 19. Martinez E. 15. Pasher T.
Substitutes
77. Abarca D. 21. Akinyode B. 15. Dollenmayer N. 16. Lyons M. 1. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 27. Petrovic P. 58. Rodriguez M. 24. Yuma 17. Zacarias R.	30. Marlow B. (G) 33. Mensah M. 7. Nwegbo D. 28. Perez M. 23. Preston T.
Coaches
Cabrera W.	Soehn T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, McCartney D. ⚽, Martinez E. (A),
28', Stauffer L. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
29', Craig B. 🟨,
34', Pasher T. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Dhillon J. ⚽, Lyons M. (A),
45+3', 1 - 2, Kassim P. ⚽, Paterson AJ (A),
45+7', McCartney D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 3, Pasher T. ⚽, Hernandez-Foster K. (A),
64', Rose L. ↓, Akinyode B. ↑,
65', Moreno A. ↓, Petrovic P. ↑,
69', McCartney D. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
79', Kassim P. ↓, Nwegbo D. ↑,
79', Hinds N. ↓, Dollenmayer N. ↑,
84', Pasher T. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
84', Martinez E. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches El Paso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
24.05.24	Charleston Battery - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
17.05.24	El Paso Locomotive - Memphis 901	1:2 ✺
10.05.24	Loudoun United - El Paso Locomotive	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWLL
- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
25.05.24	Sacramento Republic - Birmingham Legion	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Birmingham Legion - Charleston Battery	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
08.05.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion	6:4 ET ✺
USL Championship
04.05.24	Birmingham Legion - Tulsa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.05.23	Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive	1:2

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