Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	ZEE5
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
International	OneFootball TV


	Elversberg		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.75	2.70	Watch
	2.37	3.75	2.70
	2.38	3.75	2.55	Watch
	2.53	3.85	2.75
	2.43	3.85	2.66	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.70
	2.52	3.88	2.77	Watch
	2.42	3.80	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.43)	3.8 ↓ (4.02)	2.69 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elversberg
39.2%

Draw
25.2%

Augsburg
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

23.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.3%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	23.1%	61.5%

Elversberg - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Augsburg will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 35% – 88%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 43. Keidel F. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Darvich N. 7. Krattenmacher M. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 35. Bah J. 5. Matsima C. 2. Brackelmann C. 27. Wolf M. 4. Massengo H. 32. Rieder F. (C) 16. Behrens H. 19. Fellhauer R. 21. Ibrahimovic A. 9. Ribeiro R.
Substitutes
15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 6. Conde A. 9. Futkeu N. 3. Le Joncour F. 2. Mickelson N. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L. 26. Sirch L.	6. Gouweleeuw J. 11. Gregoritsch M. 30. Kade A. 14. Keitel Y. 10. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 39. Ogundu U. 37. Schnitzer T. 7. Seol Young-Woo
Coaches
Wagner V.	Baum M.

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Elversberg has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3.

Specifically in home fixtures for Elversberg against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Augsburg	5	2	2	1	13:8	5	8
10	Elversberg	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.34% Elversberg: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Union Berlin - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
29.08.26	Elversberg - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LTLWW
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Augsburg - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
07.08.15	Elversberg - Augsburg	1:3 ET

Upcoming Matches