Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 25

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio George Capwell (Guayaquil)

Referee: Arizaga H. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Emelec		Técnico Universitario

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	6	Watch
	1.66	3.20	4.80
	1.65	3.2	5.3	Watch
	1.72	3.4	5.67
	1.71	3.37	5.52	Watch
	1.7	3.35	5.5
	1.72	3.35	5.24	Watch
	1.66	3.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)	3.28 ↑ (3.21)	5.43 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
54.9%

Draw
28.1%

Técnico Universitario
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

28.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

27.5%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Emelec - Técnico Universitario Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Emelec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Emelec will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valero M. (G) 13. Gomez L. 2. Leguizamon A. (C) 4. Segura E. 3. Guerrico I. 32. Valverde J. 15. Fragozo L. 5. Mina A. 7. Klimowicz L. 8. Napoli G. 9. Carrillo R.	12. Morales A. (G) 85. Arce Y. 13. Anaya J. 5. Mena S. 79. Cuero Q. C. A. 70. Castano M. 6. Torres Nazareno L. B. 10. Johan Bocanegra 25. Delgado B. 7. Estupinan L. (C) 90. Caicedo W.
Substitutes
17. Ayovi J. 90. Bores E. (G) 21. Cevallos J. 26. Cuero I. 6. Griffith V. 80. Herrera O. 27. Leon F. 10. Pizzini F. 16. Quintero S. 19. Ruiz J. 59. Saya R. 51. Valencia S.	30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 15. Castillo F. 29. Cela A. 53. Chilla R. 77. Garcia C. 33. Majao J. 14. Ona B. 32. Viveros E. (G)
Coaches
Nasuti C.	Redin B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Klimowicz L. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Klimowicz L. ⚽, Fragozo L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Caicedo W. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Anaya J. ⚽, Delgado B. (A),
65', Gomez L. ↓, Cuero I. ↑,
65', Klimowicz L. ↓, Saya R. ↑,
71', Napoli G. ↓, Griffith V. ↑,
71', Fragozo L. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
73', Anaya J. 🟨,
74', Mena S. ↓, Ona B. ↑,
74', Delgado B. ↓, Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ↑,
86', Cuero Q. C. A. ↓, Cela A. ↑,
86', Estupinan L. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
88', Carrillo R. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
90+5', Torres Nazareno L. B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Emelec is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.6:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.08.26	Guayaquil City - Emelec	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Emelec - SD Aucas	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Emelec - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Emelec	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTL
- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario	5:0 ✺
25.07.26	Técnico Universitario - Manta	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario	3:0 ✺
19.07.26	Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.04.26	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	0:1
17.08.25	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	0:1
27.04.25	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	0:1
22.09.24	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	3:1
Ecuadorian Copa
08.09.24	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	0:1 penalties
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.04.24	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	1:1
17.08.23	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	0:0

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