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Current Win Probability
Jong Ajax 22.9%
Draw 21.6%
Willem II 55.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.9%
22%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
21.4%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
38.5%
53.8%
Jong Ajax - Willem II Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Willem II will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Willem II (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. Appiah A. 3. van der Lans M. 4. Johnson J. 5. Alders G. 8. van der Vaart D. 6. Peters T. 7. O'Niel D. (C) 10. Ouazane A. 11. Ouazane Z. 9. Vink S.
1. Didillon T. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. 24. Tjoe a On N. 7. Doodeman N. 6. Besselink G. 18. Zarrouk A. 20. El Allouchi M. 9. Haen D. 19. van Aalst U.
Substitutes
19. Abdalla M. 12. el Hani A. (G) 17. Jetten L. 21. Kalokoh D. 15. Kasanwirjo K. 20. Konadu D. 16. Muzungu M. 22. Nash P. 18. van de Pavert R.
23. Abildgaard L. 17. Bamba S. 2. Ciranni A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 41. Kotte T. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 3. Stam F. 22. van Loon P. 45. van Maarschalkerwaard P. 28. Verheydt T.
Coaches
Weijs W.
Stegeman J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
51', Zarrouk A. ↓, van Maarschalkerwaard P. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Vink S. ⚽, Johnson J. (A),
62', Alders G. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
62', Abdella M. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
68', Doodeman N. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
68', van Aalst U. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
70', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, Verheydt T. (A),
72', Ouazane Z. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
77', O'Niel D. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Ouazane A. ⚽, Nash P. (A),
85', van Maarschalkerwaard P. 🟨,
87', Et Taibi A. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
88', van der Vaart D. ↓, Muzungu M. ↑,
90+3', Ouazane A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
Jong Ajax is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Willem II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Jong Ajax: 0.25%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Jong Ajax
10
2
2
6
13:25
-12
8
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Ajax - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.85%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.