Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 27

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN


	Jong Ajax		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.46	Watch
	4.8	4.5	1.5
	5.4	4.45	1.5	Watch
	5.64	4.68	1.51
	5.13	4.57	1.54	Watch
	5	4.33	1.5
	5.3	4.54	1.51	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↓ (5.58)	4.51 ↓ (4.75)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Ajax
17.6%

Draw
20.6%

Cambuur
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

19.7%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Jong Ajax - Cambuur Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Jong Ajax (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cambuur will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambuur will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cambuur (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. Appiah A. 3. Bouwman A. 4. van der Lans M. (C) 5. Butera E. 10. Peters T. 6. van de Pavert R. 8. Abdalla M. 7. Ouazane A. 9. Konadu D. 11. O'Niel D.	1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 10. Diemers M. (C) 8. Souren N. 7. Balk R. 26. Ferrah I. 18. Rolke T. 11. Sjostrand O.
Substitutes
20. Acheampong L. 12. el Hani A. (G) 17. Jetten L. 15. Johnson J. 22. Kalokoh D. 18. Kasanwirjo K. 23. Messori L. 16. Muzungu M. 25. Nash P. 21. Ouazane Z. 19. van der Vaart D. 24. Vink S.	3. Berkhout J. 13. Binder N. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 31. Kalisvaart M. 27. Kooistra W. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 48. van der Heide W. 14. van der Sande J. 9. Visser K.
Coaches
Garcia O.	de Jong H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Diemers M. (Penalty Awarded),
17', Heerkens J. 🟨,
24', Konadu D. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Souren N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Souren N. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
62', van de Pavert R. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
62', Konadu D. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
62', Peters T. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
64', Rolke T. ↓, van der Sande J. ↑,
64', Sjostrand O. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
65', van der Sande J. 🟨,
74', Galvez T. 🟨,
75', Ouazane A. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
78', Ferrah I. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
82', Mulders R. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Abdalla M. ⚽, Vink S. (A),
85', O'Niel D. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Baouf I. ⚽, Diemers M. (A),
90+1', Henstra I. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.

Jong Ajax has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cambuur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cambuur is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Jong Ajax: 0.25%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.02.26	De Graafschap - Jong Ajax	4:0 ✺
02.02.26	Jong Ajax - Willem II	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Jong Ajax - Roda	2:2 ✺
12.01.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Jong Ajax - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWTWL
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.02.26	Jong PSV - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
16.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	Cambuur - MVV Maastricht	4:0 ✺
12.12.25	Willem II - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Cambuur - Den Bosch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.11.25	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	4:1
24.02.25	Jong Ajax - Cambuur	1:1
13.09.24	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	0:1
15.04.24	Jong Ajax - Cambuur	2:1
25.08.23	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	4:2
19.02.21	Jong Ajax - Cambuur	1:1
07.11.20	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	2:3

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