Match Info

Serie A - Round 35

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	12:30	Tring Sport 1
Angola	11:30	Z Sport 1
Argentina	07:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	14:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Optus Sport
Austria	12:30	DAZN
Azerbaijan	14:30	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	12:30	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	07:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	13:30	Max Sport 3
Chile	06:30	Disney+
China	18:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	05:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	12:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	13:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	12:30	Sport 1
Denmark	12:30	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	13:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	14:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	12:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	13:30	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	18:30	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	12:30	Match 4, Net4+
India	16:00	GXR World
Indonesia	17:30	Vidio
Israel	13:30	ONE Sport 2
Italy	12:30	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	19:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	12:30	ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	18:30	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	18:30	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	12:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	04:30	Disney+
Moldova	13:30	Setanta Sports 1
New Zealand	22:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	12:30	VG+
Peru	05:30	Disney+
Poland	12:30	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	11:30	Sport TV3
Romania	13:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	13:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	13:30	STC TV
Serbia	12:30	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	12:30	Arena Sport 3
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	19:30	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	12:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	12:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	12:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	15:30	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	13:30	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	15:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	13:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Arab Emirates	14:30	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	07:30	Disney+
Usa	06:30	CBS, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	15:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	06:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	17:30	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
International	10:30	Onefootball


	Empoli		Lazio

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.75	1.82
	4.45	3.35	1.88	Watch
	4.76	3.55	1.91
	4.47	3.71	1.85	Watch
	4	3.5	1.83
	4.85	3.69	1.81	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.29)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
21.6%

Draw
26.9%

Lazio
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.5%

26%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

26.1%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Lazio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	6.2%	85.4%

Empoli - Lazio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (41 of 48 users predict this - 85.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.44% – 95.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. (C) 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 35. Marianucci L. 10. Fazzini J. 3. Pezzella G. 17. Solbakken O. 13. Cacace L. 29. Colombo L.	35. Mandas C. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 2. Gigot S. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 8. Guendouzi M. 6. Rovella N. 77. Marusic A. 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M. (C) 11. Castellanos T.
Substitutes
36. Bacci J. 98. Brancolini F. (G) 89. Campaniello T. 22. De Sciglio M. 99. Esposito Se. 90. Konate I. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 1. Silvestri M. (G) 31. Tosto L.	26. Basic T. 21. Belahyane R. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 34. Gila M. 27. Ibrahimovic A. 18. Isaksen G. 14. Noslin T. 9. Pedro 94. Provedel I. (G) 25. Provstgaard O. 20. Tchaouna L. 5. Vecino M.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Baroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Dia B. ⚽, Hysaj E. (A),
34', Colombo L. 🟨,
38', Colombo L. 🟨,
45+2', Goglichidze S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Goglichidze S. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
46', Marusic A. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
56', Pellegrini Lu. 🟨,
58', Dia B. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
59', Solbakken O. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
66', Hysaj E. 🟨,
70', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Gila M. ↑,
70', Zaccagni M. ↓, Pedro ↑,
76', Hysaj E. 🟨,
79', Rovella N. ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
84', Pezzella G. 🟨,
87', Vecino M. 🟨,
89', Viti M. 🟨,
90', Viti M. ↓, Campaniello T. ↑,
90+4', Provstgaard O. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 0.

Empoli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lazio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lazio is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Empoli: Anjorin F. (Muscle Injury) Grassi A. (Red Card) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Henderson L. (Yellow Cards) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Kovalenko V. (Knock) Maleh Y. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Lazzari M. (Injury) Patric (Foot Injury) Tavares N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:29. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
27.04.25	Fiorentina - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.04.25	Bologna - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.04.25	Empoli - Venezia	2:2 ✺
14.04.25	Napoli - Empoli	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Empoli - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
28.04.25	Lazio - Parma	2:2 ✺
23.04.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.04.25	Lazio - Bodø Glimt	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
13.04.25	Lazio - Roma	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.04.25	Bodø Glimt - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
06.10.24	Lazio - Empoli	2:1
12.05.24	Lazio - Empoli	2:0
22.12.23	Empoli - Lazio	0:2
03.06.23	Empoli - Lazio	0:2
08.01.23	Lazio - Empoli	2:2
06.01.22	Lazio - Empoli	3:3
21.08.21	Empoli - Lazio	1:3

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