Match Info

Serie A - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:45	Optus Sport
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	02:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 2
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	02:45	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Match 4, Net4+
India	00:15	GXR World
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	02:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	23:45	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	Disney+
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
New Zealand	06:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV4
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	21:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	23:45	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	21:45	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Arab Emirates	22:45	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+
Vietnam	01:45	ON Plus
International	18:45	Onefootball


	Empoli		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.4
	2.28	3.05	3.45
	2.33	3.14	3.61
	2.3	3.12	3.57	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.3
	2.36	3.18	3.61	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.54)	3.16 ↓ (3.32)	3.49 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
42.3%

Draw
30.3%

Parma
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

31%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Parma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.1%	16.9%	16.9%

Empoli - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 38 - 66.7%). Parma will win (votes: 9 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 54.5% – 78.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Parma (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Empoli (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Parma (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Parma (1.61) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Empoli will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Empoli (votes: 21 - 70%). Parma (votes: 3 - 10%). Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 35. Marianucci L. 34. Ismajli A. 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 5. Grassi A. (C) 6. Henderson L. 3. Pezzella G. 10. Fazzini J. 13. Cacace L. 99. Esposito Se.	31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 46. Leoni G. 5. Valenti L. 20. Hainaut A. 19. Sohm S. 16. Keita M. 17. Ondrejka J. 14. Valeri E. 32. Pellegrino M. 13. Bonny A.
Substitutes
8. Anjorin F. 98. Brancolini F. (G) 89. Campaniello T. 22. De Sciglio M. 24. Ebuehi T. 2. Goglichidze S. 90. Konate I. 20. Kovalenko V. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 1. Silvestri M. (G) 17. Solbakken O. 31. Tosto L.	11. Almqvist P. 4. Balogh B. 7. Benedyczak A. 23. Camara D. 39. Circati A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 30. Djuric M. 61. Haj Mohamed A. 27. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 98. Man D. 33. Marcone R. (G) 65. Plicco E.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Fazzini J. ⚽, Henderson L. (A),
22', Valenti L. 🟨,
31', Valenti L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Ondrejka J. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
66', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
66', Sohm S. ↓, Hernani ↑,
71', Grassi A. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
73', Cacace L. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Djuric M. ⚽, Hernani (A),
77', Cacace L. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
77', Bonny A. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
84', Esposito Se. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
84', Henderson L. ↓, Solbakken O. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Anjorin F. ⚽, Konate I. (A),
88', Viti M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2.

Empoli is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Parma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Empoli might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Empoli: Haas N. (Knee Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Maleh Y. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Cancellieri M. (Thigh Injury) Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Estevez N. (Thigh Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury) Mihaila V. (Thigh Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery) Vogliacco A. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
04.05.25	Empoli - Lazio	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Fiorentina - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.04.25	Bologna - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.04.25	Empoli - Venezia	2:2 ✺
14.04.25	Napoli - Empoli	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
03.05.25	Parma - Como	0:1 ✺
28.04.25	Lazio - Parma	2:2 ✺
23.04.25	Parma - Juventus	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Fiorentina - Parma	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Parma - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.10.24	Parma - Empoli	1:1
Club Friendly
06.09.20	Parma - Empoli	0:2
Italian Serie A
02.03.19	Empoli - Parma	3:3
30.09.18	Parma - Empoli	1:0
Italian Serie B
17.02.18	Empoli - Parma	4:0
19.09.17	Parma - Empoli	1:2
Club Friendly
18.08.17	Parma - Empoli	1:1

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