The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Garcilaso 36.4%
Draw 30.5%
FBC Melgar 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
29.3%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
30.5%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 19. Gomez A. 2. Salazar A. 16. Nunez O. 23. Moreno X. 8. Gonzalez A. 10. Sandoval K. 14. Torrejon C. 24. Olivares C. 30. Da Silva B.
12. Caceda C. (C) 33. Lazo M. 23. Escobar J. 90. Jesus Alcantar 27. Cabanillas N. 24. Tandazo W. 6. Salas J. 8. Guzman L. 10. Quagliata N. 45. Zegarra M. 11. Vidales J.
Substitutes
31. Barbieri J. (G) 13. Benincasa H. 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 29. Graneros A. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 7. Sinisterra J. 33. Villacorta S.
20. Bernaola G. 21. Cabezudo J. (G) 16. Caceres J. 9. Cuesta B. 80. D'Arrigo J. 5. Deneumostier A. 17. De Santis J. 22. Erustes P. 4. Ramos A.
Coaches
Dominguez S.
Rondelli M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salazar A. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
46', Guzman L. ↓, Erustes P. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Da Silva B. ⚽,
56', Erustes P. 🟨,
63', Zegarra M. ↓, Cuesta B. ↑,
67', Olivares C. ↓, Graneros A. ↑,
69', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
69', Torrejon C. 🟨,
72', Cabanillas N. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
74', Sandoval K. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
84', Quagliata N. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
84', Lazo M. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
86', Gonzalez A. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
90+4', Graneros A. 🟨,
90+9', Jesus Alcantar 🟨,
90+11', D'Arrigo J. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
Orzan H.
(Injury)
Zanelatto F.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).